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Bundesliga - 8 games left
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GYXU > Soccer > Bundesliga - 8 games left 31 March 2008 19:15:33

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Bundesliga - 8 games left

Matthias M hlich 31 March 2008 14:34:52
 No team on the first 6 places could win this week-end. OTOH, Frankfurt
and Wolfsburg (second-best and best team after winter break!) could, so
the race for the international places has become even more interesting.

I divided the BL teams into 4 groups:
* A (1 team): Bayern
* B (7 teams): the 7 teams which are in the focus of this thread:
Hamburg, Schalke, Leverkusen, Werder, Stuttgart, Frankfurt, Wolfsburg
* C (5 teams): no hope for international places, no worries about
relegation: Karlsruhe, Hannover, Bochum, Berlin, Dortmund
* D (5 teams): relegation candidates: Rostock, Cottbus, Duisburg,
Bielefeld, N rnberg

At the end phase of a season, "D teams" are often more dangerous to play
than "C teams" which have nothing to fight for.

Additionally, I marked the games within the "B team" group in bold face;
it is evident that these games are the most important ones in deciding
who will play in Europe next season.


Current table and remaining games:

2 - Hamburg (47 points):
* (A) VFB STUTTGART - prediction: draw
* (H) MSV Duisburg
* (A) Hertha BSC
* (H) FC Schalke 04
* (A) Hansa Rostock
* (H) WERDER BREMEN
* (A) Energie Cottbus
* (H) Karlsruher SC
=> 0A, 3B, 2C, 3D

3 (-2) - Schalke (45 points):
* (H) Hansa Rostock - prediction: win
* (A) WERDER BREMEN
* (H) Energie Cottbus
* (A) HAMBURGER SV
* (H) Hannover 96
* (A) VfL Bochum
* (H) EINTRACHT FRANKFURT
* (A) 1. FC N rnberg
=> 0A, 3B, 2C, 3D

4 (+1) - Leverkusen (44 points):
* (A) Borussia Dortmund - prediction: loss
* (H) VFB STUTTGART
* (A) Arminia Bielefeld
* (H) VFL WOLFSBURG
* (A) MSV Duisburg
* (H) Hertha BSC
* (A) Hansa Rostock
* (H) WERDER BREMEN
=> 0A, 3B, 2C, 3D
I successfully :-)­ predicted a difficult near future for them and hope
that Eintracht will overtake them within the next two weeks.

5 (+1) - Werder (44 points):
* (A) Hertha BSC - prediction: win
* (H) FC SCHALKE 04
* (H) Hansa Rostock
* (A) Karlsruher SC
* (H) Energie Cottbus
* (A) HAMBURGER SV
* (H) Hannover 96
* (A) BAYER LEVERKUSEN
=> 0A, 3B, 3C, 2D
Now they are in a crisis. Unfortunately, their next opponent Hertha is
not known for fighting 100% for every ball -- which currently is all it
needs to beat Werder. As stated last week: difficult program at the end.
Risk of falling out of the international places completely.

6 - Stuttgart (42 points):
* (H) HAMBURGER SV - prediction: draw
* (A) BAYER LEVERKUSEN
* (H) 1. FC N rnberg
* (A) Bayern M nchen
* (H) EINTRACHT FRANKFURT
* (A) Borussia Dortmund
* (A) VFL WOLFSBURG
* (H) Arminia Bielefeld
=> 1A, 4B, 1C, 2D
It's do-or-die weeks for Stuttgart now. Bayern and 3 "B teams" within
the next 5 games.

7 - Frankfurt (42 points)
* (H) 1. FC N rnberg - prediction: win
* (A) Hannover 96
* (H) Bayern M nchen
* (H) Borussia Dortmund
* (A) VfB STUTTGART
* (H) VfL WOLFSBURG
* (A) FC SCHALKE 04
* (H) MSV Duisburg
=> 1A, 3B, 2C, 2D
The following weeks offer the chance to increase the current momemtum
even more -- which is absolutely necessary, given the last games versus
direct competitors for the UEFA cup places. If not, it's no serious
problem. The aim for this season was "never getting into relegation
trouble and 45+X points". Non-Relegation secured in March and 8 games
left for 3+X missing points -- that's quite relaxing for every Eintracht
fan. We have nothing to lose and could win a lot... :-)­

8 - Wolfsburg (40 points)
* (H) Hannover 96 - prediction: draw
* (A) 1. FC N rnberg
* (H) VfL Bochum
* (A) BAYER LEVERKUSEN
* (H) Bayern M nchen
* (A) EINTRACHT FRANKFURT
* (H) VFB STUTTGART
* (A) Borussia Dortmund
=> 1A, 3B, 3C, 1D


The most interesting games on the next match days:
* MD 27: Stuttgart - Hamburg. Reigning champion with bad start, but good
recent results challenges a team on a CL place.
* MD 28: Leverkusen - Stuttgart and Werder - Schalke. The big day. Four
out of the five "old" 2nd tier teams ("B teams" minus Frankfurt and
Wolfsburg) challenge each other.
* MD 29: no match between B team group, but Eintracht with the "best"
chance of dropping points in a home game versus Bayern


MM
Add comment
Bruce Scott TOK 31 March 2008 16:33:54 permanent link ]
 Matthias M wrote:

Good weekend for Eintracht, eh? !

The most interesting games on the next match days:
* MD 27: Stuttgart - Hamburg. Reigning champion with bad start, but good
recent results challenges a team on a CL place.
* MD 28: Leverkusen - Stuttgart and Werder - Schalke. The big day. Four
out of the five "old" 2nd tier teams ("B teams" minus Frankfurt and
Wolfsburg) challenge each other.
* MD 29: no match between B team group, but Eintracht with the "best"
chance of dropping points in a home game versus Bayern

Maybe for Day 29 but not for all the teams playing Bayern... I think
Frankfurt have a much better chance to beat us at home than Wolfsburg
do, for example.

Stuttgart on the other hand should expect to lose in Munich.

--
ciao,
Bruce

drift wave turbulence: http://www.rzg.mpg.­de/~bds/

Add comment
Sven Mischkies 31 March 2008 19:15:33 permanent link ]
 Matthias M hlich <muehlich@iap.uni-f­rankfurt.de> wrote:

2 - Hamburg (47 points):
* (A) VFB STUTTGART - prediction: draw


We lose, can't deal with their counter attacks.


3 (-2) - Schalke (45 points):
* (H) Hansa Rostock - prediction: win


Yep.


4 (+1) - Leverkusen (44 points):
* (A) Borussia Dortmund - prediction: loss


Draw.


I successfully :-)­ predicted a difficult near future for them and hope
that Eintracht will overtake them within the next two weeks.


I wouldn't mind if you were right, but don't believe that just yet. :)­


5 (+1) - Werder (44 points):
* (A) Hertha BSC - prediction: win


Another draw.


6 - Stuttgart (42 points):
* (H) HAMBURGER SV - prediction: draw


Yep.


7 - Frankfurt (42 points)
* (H) 1. FC N rnberg - prediction: win


Aye.


8 - Wolfsburg (40 points)
* (H) Hannover 96 - prediction: draw


Aye.


Ciao,
SM
--
http://www.gourockv­iews.co.uk
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does mystify me that otherwise intelligent people take it seriously.
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GYXU > Soccer > Bundesliga - 8 games left 31 March 2008 19:15:33

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