1. An even numbered car will win.> Result:

2. The car taking the white flag will not win.> Result:

3. Chevy will have at least 3 of the top 5 spots.> Result:

4. The first 3 places will be from the points top 10.> Result:

"WildWeasel" wrote ...>> Oh heck, how do you predict this one??? I think MXM and his friend Mr.> Random>> will win (this is not one, but should be, maybe).>

You could have my problem -- I had to make TEN picks this week to make up> for Phoenix. Yuck.

Anyway I'm going to pick apart a few of your picks unfortunately -- you led> for a long time so you still have a target on ya. ­>

Gimmie alert: You've started with something that's about 50/50 (even vs> odd) and of those two groups, you picked the group that includes 13 of the> top 15 drivers including the winners of 11 of the last 15 Plate Races. It's> a clear Gimmie my friend.

I like this one. No stats on it either way, but at most tracks this year,> that's not been the case. Plate tracks... used to be that 1st at the white> flag was the place you *least* wanted to be. These days, who knows.>

Gimmie Alert: Your prediction has occured exactly 80% of the time over the> last 5 plate races.>

Some numbers:>

2005 Daytona 500: Chevy top 4 spots, 6 of top 7.> 2004 Pepsi 400: Chevy top 3 spots, 8 of top 10.> 2004 Daytona 500: Chevy top 3 spots, 6 of top 8.> 2004 EA Sports 500: Chevy topp 2 and 7 of 11 spots.> 2004 Aaron's 499: Chevy top 5 spots.>

So, over the last 5 plate races:> Chevy has had the top 3 spots 4 out of 5 times (80% frequency).> Chevy has even had the top 4 spots 4 out of 5 times (80% frequency)> Top 10: Chevy has 30 of 50 spots (60%)> Top 5: Chevy has 19 of 25 spots (76%)> Top 3: Chevy has 14 of 15 spots (93%)>

Any way you look at it, what you predict is far more likely than not to> happen, I'd say.

I thought this one was a gimmie too. Did the research, it's not.> Shockingly enough, the top 3 places do *not* go to the top 10 in points more> often than not, as of late. Good pick!