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ACC Power Ratings Through Tournament First Round
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GYXU > Basketball > ACC Power Ratings Through Tournament First Round 12 March 2005 04:27:26

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ACC Power Ratings Through Tournament First Round

George W . Harris 12 March 2005 04:27:26
 Below are power ratings for ACC men's
basketball games considering only the scores
of games between conference members through
Sunday, March 6th. The first rating
takes margin of victory fully into account,
while the third rating ignores it completely,
looking only at wins and losses. The second
rating is like the first rating, except it
weighs close games, upsets and games between
closely-matched teams more heavily than blow-
outs of overmatched teams.

Relative Schedules is the records of
the teams each team does *not* play twice (less
results against the relevant team), so a poor
record is indicative of a difficult schedule.
Games played against the team are not counted
(so, for instance, UVa's loss to Duke is not
included in the entry for Duke). The second
column is the road records of teams not played
at home plus home records of teams not played
on the road.

Just for fun, I'm including BC in this
year's ratings, even though they only play one
game against conference members.

Rating One

Record Power
TeamConfOverallOffe­nseDefenseCurrentPre­vious
1)UNC14-226-3 2)86.9 3) 3.7 90.6 1)90.7
2)Wake Forest13-326-4 1)88.2 10)-3.0 85.3 2)85.4
3)Duke11-522-5 4)80.3 2) 3.8 84.1 3)84.3
4)NC State 8-918-12 8)70.41 1) 6.4 76.8 4)76.5
5)Boston C 1-024-4 5)78.3 9)-2.8 75.5 5)75.0
6)Georgia Tech 8-817-10 6)73.5 6) 1.2 74.7 6)74.9
7)Maryland 7-1016-12 3)80.6 12)-9.6 71.1 7)72.0
8)Miami 7-1016-12 7)70.6 8) 0.2 70.8 8)71.3
9)Clemson 6-1216-1410)68.7 7) 0.8 69.510)68.9
10)Va Tech 8-815-1211)67.1 5) 1.8 68.9 9)69.0
11)Florida St 4-1312-1912)66.1 4) 2.0 68.211)68.7
12)Virginia 5-1214-14 9)70.35 11)-4.6 65.712)65.6

Home Court Advantage3.0

Rating Two

Record Power
TeamConfOverallOffe­nseDefenseCurrentPre­vious
1)UNC14-226-3 2)84.1 2) 3.3 87.4 1) 87.5
2)Wake Forest13-326-4 1)89.111)-5.9 83.2 2) 83.3
3)Duke11-522-5 4)78.6 3) 3.2 81.8 3) 81.9
4)Boston C 1-024-4 5)78.0 9)-1.3 76.7 4) 76.1
5)NC State 8-918-1210)69.3 1) 6.5 75.9 5) 75.7
6)Georgia Tech 8-817-10 6)73.1 6) 1.1 74.3 6) 74.4
7)Maryland 7-1016-12 3)81.712)-10.1 71.6 7) 72.2
8)Miami 7-1016-12 8)70.3 7) 0.7 71.0 8) 71.4
9)Va Tech 8-815-1211)67.9 4) 2.8 70.7 9) 70.8
10)Clemson 6-1216-14 9)70.1 8) 0.4 70.510) 69.9
11)Florida St 4-1312-1912)66.5 5) 2.7 69.311) 69.7
12)Virginia 5-1214-14 7)70.510)-3.6 66.812) 66.5

Home Court Advantage2.7

Rating Three

Record Power
TeamConfRW-HLOveral­lCurrentPrevious
1)UNC14-26-026-31.0­00 1)1.000
2)Wake Forest13-35-026-40.­913 2)0.912
3)Boston C 1-00-024-40.830 4)0.771
4)Duke11-54-122-50.­786 3)0.784
5)Georgia Tech 8-83-317-100.428 5)0.411
6)Va Tech 8-83-215-120.394 6)0.376
7)NC State 8-94-518-120.383 7)0.338
8)Miami 7-103-416-120.315 9)0.312
9)Maryland 7-102-316-120.278 8)0.313
10)Clemson 6-122-516-140.16510­)0.088
11)Virginia 5-121-514-140.05111­)0.012
12)Florida St 4-131-512-190.00012­)0.000

Home Court Advantage0.221

Relative Schedules

Duke22-4112-22@Clem­son, FSU, NCState, @UVa
NC State25-3815-18Clem­son, @Duke, @FSU, Miami
Virginia29-3315-18@­Clemson, Duke, Ga Tech, @Miami
Maryland30-3216-17@­FSU, @Ga Tech, Miami, Wake
Clemson32-2917-16Du­ke, @NC State, UVa, @Wake
Georgia Tech30-3117-16Maryl­and, UNC, @UVa, @Va Tech
Miami32-3016-17@Mar­yland, @NC State, UNC, UVa
Florida St32-3019-14@Duke, Maryland, NCState, @Va Tech
Wake Forest35-2717-15Cle­mson, @Maryland, @UNC, Va Tech
UNC35-2616-16@Ga Tech, @Miami, Va Tech, Wake
Va Tech36-2520-13FSU, Ga Tech, @UNC, @Wake

Recent Games

Thursday, March 10th
#9 Clemson vs #8 Maryland
Rating 1: Clemson 78 Maryland 81
Rating 2: Clemson 80 Maryland 82
Rating 3: Maryland
Result: Clemson 84 Maryland 72
#10 Florida State vs #7 NC State
Rating 1: FSU 60 NC State 68
Rating 2: FSU 60 NC State 66
Rating 3: NC State
Result: FSU 54 NC State 70
#11 Virginia vs #6 Miami
Rating 1: UVa 71 Miami 76
Rating 2: UVa 70 Miami 75
Rating 3: Miami
Result: UVa 66 Miami 65

Record, Tournament and Cumulative

Rating One: 1-2, 0.333 (51-29, 0.638)
Rating Two: 1-2, 0.333 (50-30, 0.625)
Rating Three: 1-2, 0.333 (50-30, 0.625)


Upcoming Games

#9 Clemson vs #1 UNC
Rating 1: Clemson 65 UNC 86
Rating 2: Clemson 67 UNC 84
Rating 3: UNC
#5 Georgia Tech vs #4 Virginia Tech
Rating 1: Ga Tech 66 Va Tech 72
Rating 2: Ga Tech 67 Va Tech 70
Rating 3: Ga Tech
#7 NC State vs #2 Wake Forest
Rating 1: NC State 73 Wake 82
Rating 2: NC State 75 Wake 83
Rating 3: Wake
#11 Virginia vs #3 Duke
Rating 1: UVa 67 Duke 85
Rating 2: UVa 67 Duke 82
Rating 3: Duke

--
e^(i*pi)+1=0

George W. Harris For actual email address, replace each 'u' with an 'i'.
Add comment
Navin 12 March 2005 03:35:44 permanent link ]
 George W. Harris wrote:> #5 Georgia Tech vs #4 Virginia Tech> Rating 1: Ga Tech 66 Va Tech 72> Rating 2: Ga Tech 67 Va Tech 70> Rating 3: Ga Tech

This can't be right, Ga Tech is ranked higher in all three ratings.

--
reverse email to reply
Add comment
George W . Harris 12 March 2005 04:27:26 permanent link ]
 navin <snivan@earthlink.n­et> wrote:

:George W. Harris wrote:
:> #5 Georgia Tech vs #4 Virginia Tech
:> Rating 1: Ga Tech 66 Va Tech 72
:> Rating 2: Ga Tech 67 Va Tech 70
:> Rating 3: Ga Tech
:
:This can't be right, Ga Tech is ranked higher in all three ratings.

Yeah, I reversed the first two. That's what I
get for doing it in my sleep.

--
"If you take cranberries and stew them like applesauce, they
taste much more like prunes than rhubarb does." -Groucho Marx

George W. Harris For actual email address, replace each 'u' with an 'i'
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GYXU > Basketball > ACC Power Ratings Through Tournament First Round 12 March 2005 04:27:26

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