Saturday, 7 June 2008
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| RC/25 for SSes (6/7) Nelson Lu 18:50:22 |
| | RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Rafael Furcal, Los Angeles-N 9.84 10.63 27.0
Hanley Ramirez, Florida 6.87 7.02 27.2
Jeff Keppinger, Cincinnati 6.54 6.64 15.1
Jose Reyes, New York-N 6.21 6.37 24.8
Michael Young, Texas 6.11 5.60 19.3
Ryan Theriot, Chicago-N 6.23 5.58 17.5
Jimmy Rollins, Philadelphia 5.33 5.36 11.0
Chris Gomez, Pittsburgh 4.69 5.33 6.1
Yunel Escobar, Atlanta 5.81 5.25 15.8
Cristian Guzman, Washington 5.38 5.12 16.2
Miguel Tejada, Houston 5.27 4.96 14.6
Yuniesky Betancourt, Seattle 4.56 4.93 12.1
J. J. Hardy, Milwaukee 4.39 4.70 10.7
Bobby Crosby, Oakland 4.27 4.68 13.1
Stephen Drew, Arizona 5.05 4.42 9.6
Jhonny Peralta, Cleveland 4.22 4.41 9.9
Derek Jeter, New York-A 4.63 4.33 9.2
AVERAGE REGULAR SS 4.31
David Eckstein, Toronto 4.04 4.08 5.3
Matt Tolbert, Minnesota 3.69 4.03 2.9
Julio Lugo, Boston 4.11 3.95 5.7
Cesar Izturis, St. Louis 3.79 3.90 5.3
Orlando Cabrera, Chicago-A 3.79 3.65 5.9
Edgar Renteria, Detroit 3.90 3.46 3.6
Erick Aybar, Los Angeles-A 3.42 3.29 1.9
Jason Bartlett, Tampa Bay 2.74 3.06 1.2
Luis Hernandez, Baltimore 3.10 2.96 0.2
Khalil Greene, San Diego 2.63 2.96 0.7
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 2.87
Brian Bocock, San Francisco 1.16 1.14 -4.7
Troy Tulowitzki, Colorado 1.07 1.04 -6.7
Tony Pena, Kansas City 0.46 0.49 -12.9
===============================================================================
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===============================================================================
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.edu)
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|
| RC/25 for 3Bs (6/7) Nelson Lu 18:45:35 |
| | RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Chipper Jones, Atlanta 13.54 12.23 43.4
David Wright, New York-N 6.71 6.89 22.6
Blake DeWitt, Los Angeles-N 6.12 6.61 15.1
Aramis Ramirez, Chicago-N 7.26 6.51 17.7
Ramon Vazquez, Texas 6.87 6.30 9.3
Alex Rodriguez, New York-A 6.65 6.22 11.4
Joe Crede, Chicago-A 6.27 6.04 13.9
Chone Figgins, Los Angeles-A 6.20 5.98 8.8
Troy Glaus, St. Louis 5.57 5.74 13.8
Carlos Guillen, Detroit 6.40 5.67 11.8
Jack Hannahan, Oakland 5.09 5.57 10.1
Garrett Atkins, Colorado 5.71 5.55 13.0
Evan Longoria, Tampa Bay 4.91 5.48 10.3
Ty Wigginton, Houston 5.68 5.35 5.7
AVERAGE REGULAR 3B 5.09
Adrian Beltre, Seattle 4.68 5.06 10.5
Jorge Cantu, Florida 4.91 5.01 9.6
Jose Bautista, Pittsburgh 4.38 4.98 7.4
Mike Lowell, Boston 5.08 4.88 6.8
Alex Gordon, Kansas City 4.61 4.87 8.9
Kevin Kouzmanoff, San Diego 4.28 4.82 9.5
Marco Scutaro, Toronto 4.68 4.72 6.0
Edwin Encarnacion, Cincinnati 4.64 4.71 7.6
Mark Reynolds, Arizona 5.22 4.56 6.0
Jose Castillo, San Francisco 4.64 4.56 6.2
Casey Blake, Cleveland 4.08 4.27 4.0
Pedro Feliz, Philadelhpia 4.19 4.21 4.4
Ryan Zimmerman, Washington 4.15 3.95 2.4
Bill Hall, Milwaukee 3.56 3.81 1.6
Melvin Mora, Baltimore 3.79 3.63 0.6
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.55
Mike Lamb, Minnesota 2.97 3.25 -1.6
===============================================================================
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===============================================================================
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.edu)
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|
| RC/25 for 2Bs (6/7) Nelson Lu 18:41:03 |
| | RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Chase Utley, Philadelphia 8.68 8.72 36.8
Dan Uggla, Florida 8.22 8.39 31.7
Clint Barmes, Colorado 7.51 7.29 15.0
Mark DeRosa, Chicago-N 6.66 5.97 15.6
Brandon Phillips, Cincinnati 5.84 5.93 19.4
Ian Kinsler, Texas 6.40 5.86 19.4
Orlando Hudson, Arizona 6.68 5.84 14.5
Kelly Johnson, Atlanta 6.13 5.53 13.7
Jose Lopez, Seattle 5.12 5.53 16.0
Ray Durham, San Francisco 5.54 5.45 9.8
Luis Castillo, New York-N 5.15 5.28 11.1
Brian Roberts, Baltimore 5.46 5.23 14.1
Akinori Iwamura, Tampa Bay 4.66 5.19 14.6
Mark Grudzielanek, Kansas City 4.69 4.95 9.1
Mark Ellis, Oakland 4.41 4.83 10.4
Tadahito Iguchi, San Diego 4.16 4.69 11.0
AVERAGE REGULAR 2B 4.62
Jeff Kent, Los Angeles-N 4.20 4.54 7.7
Kazuo Matsui, Houston 4.66 4.39 6.3
Placido Polanco, Detroit 4.61 4.09 5.6
Brendan Harris, Minnesota 3.70 4.05 5.1
Dustin Pedroia, Boston 4.21 4.05 6.9
Aaron Hill, Toronto 3.99 4.03 5.4
Rickie Weeks, Milwaukee 3.65 3.90 5.6
Maicer Izturis, Los Angeles-A 3.96 3.82 3.2
Adam Kennedy, St. Louis 3.50 3.61 2.0
Freddy Sanchez, Pittsburgh 2.89 3.29 1.1
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.14
Felipe Lopez, Washington 3.30 3.14 -0.0
Juan Uribe, Chicago-A 2.59 2.50 -2.4
Asdrubal Cabrera, Cleveland 2.38 2.49 -3.3
Robinson Cano, New York-A 2.58 2.41 -5.1
===============================================================================
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===============================================================================
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.edu)
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|
| RC/25 for 1Bs (6/7) Nelson Lu 18:36:27 |
| | RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Lance Berkman, Houston 12.32 11.61 42.4
Albert Pujols, St. Louis 11.13 11.47 41.9
Adrian Gonzalez, San Diego 6.69 7.54 26.1
Justin Morneau, Minnesota 6.44 7.05 20.8
Todd Helton, Colorado 7.11 6.91 18.8
Jason Giambi, New York-A 7.20 6.73 12.7
Prince Fielder, Milwaukee 6.22 6.65 17.4
Conor Jackson, Arizona 7.34 6.42 12.3
Kevin Youkilis, Boston 6.42 6.17 14.5
Joey Votto, Cincinnati 6.08 6.17 12.8
Lyle Overbay, Toronto 5.92 5.98 12.5
Nick Johnson, Washington 6.27 5.97 7.1
Casey Kotchman, Los Angeles-A 5.98 5.77 11.2
AVERAGE REGULAR 1B 5.49
Mark Teixeira, Atlanta 6.05 5.46 10.5
Mike Jacobs, Florida 5.30 5.42 7.8
Derrek Lee, Chicago-N 5.86 5.25 10.1
James Loney, Los Angeles-N 4.86 5.25 9.2
Carlos Pena, Tampa Bay 4.66 5.20 8.5
Frank Catalanotto, Texas 5.64 5.17 4.5
Ryan Garko, Cleveland 4.94 5.17 7.0
Miguel Cabrera, Detroit 5.66 5.02 7.3
Daric Barton, Oakland 4.54 4.97 6.4
Ryan Howard, Philadelphia 4.57 4.59 5.2
Kevin Millar, Baltimore 4.78 4.58 4.6
Billy Butler, Kansas City 4.09 4.31 2.4
Rich Aurilia, San Francisco 4.37 4.29 1.8
Carlos Delgado, New York-N 4.04 4.14 1.7
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.88
Richie Sexson, Seattle 3.53 3.82 -0.3
Adam LaRoche, Pittsburgh 3.34 3.79 -0.6
Paul Konerko, Chicago-A 3.84 3.70 -1.1
===============================================================================
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===============================================================================
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.edu)
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|
| RC/25 Introduction (6/7) Nelson Lu 18:30:47 |
| | The following posts list major league teams' regular position players' RC/25 by
position. Here are a bit of definitions:
RC/25:
A stat created by Bill James to measure how many runs a lineup of 9
of the same individual would score in a game. (The "real" version is RC/27,
since there are 27 outs in a game; however, since certain stats are not readily
available to us during the season, James has an abbreviated version known as
RC/25 to adjust for the absence of those stats. For the formula to RC/27,
please e-mail me. It is also available in Total Baseball and many other
reference manuals.)
A = H + BB - CS
B = 1.125 * 1B + 1.69 * 2B + 3.02 * 3B + 3.73 * HR + .29 * BB
+ .492 * SB - .04 * SO
(Formerly B = TB + .64 * SB + .24 * BB - .03 * K)
C = AB + BB
RC = ((A + (2.4 * C)) * (B + (3 * C)) / (9 * C)) - (.9 * C)
O = AB - H + CS
RC/25 = RC / O * 25
(The reason why HBP, among other stats, is not included is not because I think
that they're not important; it's that the data sources I use do not include
them with the "primary stats," and therefore, adding HBP and other stats would
effectively require twice the work, and the gain, while considerable, was
judged by me to be not worth it in interim reports.)
There are three additional Bill James adjustments that I do not use:
1. He adjusts for BA with runners on base. Originally, the adjustment was
not published; but it has been, in the most recent STATS Major League
Handbook and other sources. I am, however, not incorporating this
change since I have found this change to be arbitrary and also
increasing team-dependence.
2. He also adds additional points for a non-bases empty HR. Again, this
is highly arbitrary -- why not add points for a non-bases loaded
1B, 2B, or 3B? Further, this increases team-dependence as well, which
reduces the usefulness of RC.
3. He then adds up all players' RC on a team and adjusts it in a factor
that is based on whether the team scored more than it is expected or
less. I find that this defeats the point of RC, so I do not use this
adjustment.
PRC/25:
Park-adjusted RC/25. Park adjustment is a topic that I don't know how
to explain well in a paragraph, so I will not attempt to try. However, many
works that explain it are available on the net, and any search engine should
yield a number of useful articles. For these numbers, only this year's park
factors are used.
Value:
An estimate of how many runs a player is above the ever so elusive
"replacement level" (that is, a level of performance at which a player can
easily be found at little or no cost to a team). For these posts, replacement
level is estimated at 50 points of OBP and 50 points of SLG below the average
for each position.
Notes:
1. For these posts, the players who were traded during the middle of the
season have their park factors prorated by AB + BB with the teams.
(This is not mathematically correct, but is the best I can do for now.)
2. Please send to me corrections if I misplaced someone's position.
"SABREmetrics isn't about statistics, it is about the search for new
evidence." - Bill James (thanks, Bill Reich)
===============================================================================
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===============================================================================
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.edu)
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Tuesday, 3 June 2008
|
| EOS Your Name Here 07:24:00 |
| | End of Season...couldn't quite pull the trigger on the 9th inning...CSF
down to their last strike. The rest is history.
At least they won't gripe about Weiters' HR that the fan "interfered"
with.
Final post of the season...see y'all next February!
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Score by Innings R H E
-------------------------------------------
Cal State Fullerton. 000 112 003 - 7 15 1
Georgia Tech........ 301 000 100 - 5 9 0
-------------------------------------------
E - Pill(7). DP - CSF 1; Georgia Tech 1. LOB - CSF 9; Georgia Tech 10. 2B
-
Pill(20); Trapani, M.(12). 3B - Tripp(6). HR - Wieters, M.(15). HBP -
Robbins, W.; Murton, L.. SH - Blackwood, S(2); Fisher, M.(9). SF -
Robbins,
W.(4).
Cal State Fullerton IP H R ER BB SO AB BF NP ERA
--------------------------------------------------------
Dustin Miller....... 6.0 7 5 4 4 4 24 31 115 3.13
John Estes.......... 0.1 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 7 4.24
Adam Jorgenson...... 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 6 1.69
Ryan Paul........... 1.2 0 0 0 0 1 5 6 26 1.05
Georgia Tech IP H R ER BB SO AB BF NP ERA
--------------------------------------------------------
Blake Wood.......... 5.2 10 4 4 0 5 26 26 97 4.79
Tim Ladd............ 0.1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 6 4.27
Brad Rulon.......... 1.2 1 0 0 0 3 6 6 26 2.20
Matt Wieters........ 1.1 4 3 3 2 1 8 10 38 3.41
Win - Paul (3-1). Loss - Wieters, M. (1-3). Save - None.
WP - Miller(2). HBP - by Miller (Murton, L.); by Paul (Robbins, W.). BK -
Rulon, B.(1). Inherited runners/scored: Estes 1/0; Jorgenson 2/0; Paul
1/0; Ladd, T.2/0; Wieters, M. 1/0. Pitches/strikes: Miller 115/72; Estes
7/5; Jorgenson 6/6; Paul 26/17; Wood, B. 97/62; Ladd, T. 6/3; Rulon, B.
26/16; Wieters, M. 38/22. Umpires - HP: Paul Guillie 1B: Tony Maners
2B: Randy Bruns 3B: John Kleis Start: 1:08 pm Time: 3:41 Attendance:
18974 Miller faced 2 batters in the 7th.
|
| |  1 answer | Add comment |
|
| Stanford wins four in a row, advances to super-regional Tony Lima 05:01:22 |
| | Sean Ratliff's grand slam highlighted a six run outburst in
the fifth inning, propelling Stanford to a 9-7 win over
Pepperdine in the regional championship. Ratliff was also
named series MVP. - Tony
|
| | Add comment |
Monday, 2 June 2008
|
| Stanford wins two, plays for the regional Monday Tony Lima 07:43:09 |
| | Stanford beat UC Davis scoring 5 runs in the top of the
ninth for an 8-4 win. Stanford is now 1-3 on the season
against the Aggies.
The second game against winner's bracket team Pepperdine,
was a laugher. Stanford put up 4 in the first, 1 in the
second and 6 in the fourth on their way to a 13-1 win. Danny
Sandbrink cruised to a complete game win. More important
Stanford only used three pitchers today. Speculation is that
Erik Davis will start Monday's game. - Tony
|
| | Add comment |
|
| Tech "Croaks" at Hands of Bullfrogs Your Name Here 06:35:20 |
| | I guess you gotta have a game like this once and a while.
We'll see tomorrow night how much the Yeller Jackets want to win the
regional. Couldn't get much worse than this one.
Very ugly story and totals from www.ramblinwreck.com:
Georgia Tech Blanked By Georgia, 8-0, Forcing Deciding Game
The Yellow Jackets and Bulldogs meet Monday at 7 p.m. to determine
regional champion
June 1, 2008
ATHENS, Ga. - Georgia used three home runs and a masterpiece pitching
performance by Nick Montgomery Sunday night to beat Georgia Tech, 8-0,
and force a deciding game in the Athens NCAA Baseball Regional at Foley
Field.
The Yellow Jackets (41-20), the regional's No. 2 seed, and Georgia
(38-22-1), the host and No. 1 seed, will meet here Monday at 7 p.m. with
the winner advancing to one of eight Super Regionals and the loser
closing the book on the 2008 season.
Montgomery (3-2) pitched a near-flawless game, scattering four hits and
striking out nine. Georgia Tech was shutout in an NCAA Tournament game
for the first time in 20 years and the Yellow Jackets were blanked by
the Bulldogs for the first time in nearly 40 years. Tech's four base
hits were its fewest in any game this season.
"There's not much for me to say," Georgia Tech head coach Danny Hall
said. "I just hope Nick Montgomery can't pitch again tomorrow because he
has pitched against us twice (this season) and we couldn't do anything
with him."
Georgia Tech's Charlie Blackmon singled in the third inning and again in
the ninth. In between, no Yellow Jacket earned a base hit against
Montgomery, a right-hander making just his third start of the season.
"Give him (Montgomery) a lot of credit," Hall said. "He pitched nine
innings, threw a shutout in a big game... give him all the credit in the
world."
Score by Innings R H E
-------------------------------------------
Georgia Tech........ 000 000 000 - 0 4 0
Georgia............. 002 120 30X - 8 12 0
-------------------------------------------
DP - Georgia 1. LOB - Georgia Tech 3; Georgia 8. 2B - Olson(12). 3B -
Peisel(2). HR - Olson(8); Poythress(14); Cerione(7). SB - Cerione(11).
CS -
Nichols, T.(1).
Georgia Tech IP H R ER BB SO AB BF NP
--------------------------------------------------
Eddie Burns......... 6.2 11 8 8 3 1 31 34 106
Kevin Jacob......... 1.1 1 0 0 1 1 5 6 22
Georgia IP H R ER BB SO AB BF NP
--------------------------------------------------
Nick Montgomery..... 9.0 4 0 0 1 9 29 30 129
Win - Montgomery (3-2). Loss - Burns, E. (7-5). Save - None.
WP - Jacob, K. 2(8); Montgomery(3). Inherited runners/scored: Jacob, K.
1/0.Pitches/strikes: Burns, E. 106/63; Jacob, K. 22/13; Montgomery
129/85. Umpires - HP: Perry Costello 1B: Chuck Busse 2B: John Johnston
3B: Tim Catton
Start: 6:06 pm Time: 2:32 Attendance: 2929
Weather: Cloudy, 86deg, Wind-WNW-8mph
Game: GT0601
|
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Sunday, 1 June 2008
|
| Next- Athens (NE Atlanta) Regional Finals Your Name Here 14:24:00 |
| | Tech gets by Lipscomb and awaits the Bullforgs or a reprise with the
Bisons of Lipscomb College in the Championship Round.
Stay tuned....!
From www.ramblinwreck.com:
Yellow Jackets Roll Into Regional Championship After 6-3 Win vs.
Lipscomb
Georgia Tech tops Lipscomb, will play Sunday at 6 p.m. against the Bison
or Georgia
May 31, 2008
ATHENS, Ga. - Brad Feltes' two-out, two-run double in the eighth inning
helped Georgia Tech beat Lipscomb, 6-3, advancing the Yellow Jackets
into the championship round of the Athens NCAA Baseball Regional at
Georgia's Foley Field.
Georgia Tech (41-19) will play either Lipscomb or regional host Georgia
(those two teams play Sunday at 2 p.m.) Sunday at 6 p.m. A win Sunday
night would send the Yellow Jackets to a Super Regional next week. If
Tech loses Sunday night, it would force a deciding game Monday at 7 p.m.
"I felt good when Feltes came up to the plate," Georgia Tech head coach
Danny Hall said. "There's probably not another guy I'd rather see up
there than him. He's been a clutch hitter all season."
Feltes' clutch hit in the eighth inning came off of Lipscomb reliever
Kyle Tognazzini and broke a 3-3 tie. Between a three-run second inning
and Tech's two runs in the eighth, the Yellow Jackets were frustrated by
Bison starter Brandon McClurg (6-6), who retired 16 of 17 batters during
the stretch.
"McClurg really did a good job of mixing his pitches," Hall said. "He
really doesn't throw anything straight. Everything moves and he can
throw any of his pitches when he wanted to."
Score by Innings R H E
-------------------------------------------
Georgia Tech........ 030 000 021 - 6 11 0
Lipscomb............ 010 020 000 - 3 7 1
-------------------------------------------
|
| | Add comment |
Saturday, 31 May 2008
|
| RC/25 for DHes (5/31) Nelson Lu 20:23:20 |
| | Replacement level adjusted to match 1Bs.
RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Milton Bradley, Texas 8.60 8.43 21.2
Hideki Matsui, New York-A 7.33 6.81 14.3
Eric Hinske, Tampa Bay 5.85 6.44 11.3
Frank Thomas, Oakland 5.90 6.10 9.9
David Ortiz, Boston 5.98 5.67 10.8
Matt Stairs, Toronto 5.03 5.05 4.9
AVERAGE REGULAR DH 4.81
Jim Thome, Chicago-A 4.83 4.80 4.9
Aubrey Huff, Baltimore 4.63 4.44 3.4
Garret Anderson, Los Angeles-A 4.48 4.30 2.5
Jason Kubel, Minnesota 3.95 4.26 1.8
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.89
Jose Guillen, Kansas City 3.63 3.85 -0.2
Gary Sheffield, Detroit 4.13 3.60 -1.2
Travis Hafner, Cleveland 3.73 3.55 -1.7
Jose Vidro, Seattle 3.19 3.43 -2.1
===============================================================================
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===============================================================================
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.edu)
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|
| RC/25 for Cs (5/31) Nelson Lu 20:18:07 |
| | RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Jesus Flores, Washington 8.27 8.01 8.6
Russell Martin, Los Angeles-N 7.16 7.62 24.7
Dioner Navarro, Tampa Bay 6.79 7.47 14.7
Brian McCann, Atlanta 8.05 7.19 21.4
Joe Mauer, Minnesota 6.50 7.00 20.0
Bengie Molina, San Francisco 6.85 6.75 18.3
Geovanny Soto, Chicago-N 7.52 6.63 19.0
Yadier Molina, St. Louis 5.10 5.37 11.7
Jason Varitek, Boston 5.33 5.05 9.3
A. J. Pierzynski, Chicago-A 4.99 4.95 10.4
Chris Snyder, Arizona 5.79 4.95 7.8
Gregg Zaun, Toronto 4.76 4.78 7.1
Paul Bako, Cincinnati 4.55 4.74 7.4
Mike Napoli, Los Angeles-A 4.85 4.66 6.1
Jason Kendall, Milwaukee 3.73 4.33 7.5
AVERAGE REGULAR C 4.32
Victor Martinez, Cleveland 4.52 4.31 6.6
Gerald Laird, Texas 4.26 4.17 5.3
John Buck, Kansas City 3.89 4.13 4.8
Matt Treanor, Florida 4.03 4.11 3.8
Brian Schneider, New York-N 3.99 4.10 4.3
Kurt Suzuki, Oakland 3.22 3.40 2.9
Ivan Rodriguez, Detroit 3.88 3.38 2.5
Carlos Ruiz, Philadelphia 3.01 2.99 0.4
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 2.87
Ronny Paulino, Pittsburgh 2.56 2.83 -0.1
Josh Bard, San Diego 2.40 2.73 -0.6
Ramon Hernandez, Baltimore 2.85 2.73 -0.7
Kenji Johjima, Seattle 2.45 2.64 -1.2
Yorvit Torrealba, Colorado 2.15 2.12 -2.9
J. R. Towles, Houston 1.81 1.71 -4.5
Jose Molina, Los Angeles-A 1.79 1.66 -3.9
===============================================================================
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===============================================================================
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.edu)
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| | Add comment |
|
| RC/25 for RFs (5/31) Nelson Lu 20:10:06 |
| | RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Ryan Ludwick, St. Louis 9.43 9.93 26.6
Xavier Nady, Pittsburgh 7.45 8.24 25.5
Brian Giles, San Diego 6.56 7.46 23.5
Ryan Church, Washington 6.95 7.14 16.9
Magglio Ordonez, Detroit 7.42 6.47 16.5
Andre Ethier, Los Angeles-N 6.01 6.39 14.1
Corey Hart, Milwaukee 5.49 6.37 16.9
Kosuke Fukudome, Chicago-N 7.14 6.30 15.2
Randy Winn, San Francisco 5.85 5.76 12.4
Jermaine Dye, Chicago-A 5.74 5.70 11.7
J. D. Drew, Boston 5.84 5.53 8.9
Hunter Pence, Houston 5.73 5.43 11.0
Nick Markakis, Baltimore 5.62 5.39 11.2
David Murphy, Texas 5.45 5.34 11.7
Justin Upton, Arizona 6.09 5.21 9.5
Bobby Abreu, New York-A 5.45 5.07 9.2
AVERAGE REGULAR RF 5.01
Mark Teahen, Kansas City 4.66 4.95 8.4
Geoff Jenkins, Philadelphia 4.92 4.88 5.8
Gabe Gross, Tampa Bay 4.16 4.68 3.9
Jeremy Hermida, Florida 4.48 4.57 5.7
Ken Griffey, Cincinnati 4.36 4.54 6.4
Brad Hawpe, Colorado 4.51 4.45 4.3
Alex Rios, Toronto 4.42 4.44 6.5
V. Guerrero, Los Angeles-A 4.55 4.37 5.3
Emil Brown, Oakland 4.03 4.25 4.7
Jeff Francoeur, Atlanta 3.93 3.51 0.2
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.48
Brad Wilkerson, Toronto 3.24 3.36 -0.5
Michael Cuddyer, Minnesota 3.01 3.24 -1.1
Franklin Gutierrez, Cleveland 3.11 2.96 -2.2
Austin Kearns, Washington 2.29 2.21 -6.3
===============================================================================
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===============================================================================
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.edu)
|
| | Add comment |
|
| RC/25 for CFs (5/31) Nelson Lu 20:03:38 |
| | RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Nate McLouth, Pittsburgh 7.72 8.53 31.1
Josh Hamilton, Texas 8.03 7.86 27.6
B. J. Upton, Tampa Bay 6.98 7.68 23.9
Aaron Rowand, San Francisco 7.62 7.51 19.8
Rick Ankiel, St. Louis 5.87 6.18 14.5
Ryan Sweeney, Oakland 5.73 6.05 9.5
Carlos Beltran, New York-N 5.85 6.01 15.6
Jacoby Ellsbury, Boston 6.31 5.98 12.8
Grady Sizemore, Cleveland 5.55 5.90 13.3
Matt Kemp, Los Angeles-N 5.43 5.85 16.6
Ichiro Suzuki, Seattle 5.29 5.31 8.1
Vernon Wells, Toronto 5.50 5.28 11.2
Torii Hunter, Los Angeles-A 5.28 5.23 9.0
Shane Victorino, Philadelphia 4.35 5.04 6.3
Mike Cameron, Milwaukee 4.60 4.96 9.8
Carlos Gomez, Minnesota 5.46 4.88 7.5
AVERAGE REGULAR CF 4.82
Curtis Granderson, Detroit 4.92 4.29 3.7
Chris B. Young, Arizona 4.90 4.19 5.8
Melky Cabrera, New York 4.49 4.18 4.4
Alfredo Amezaga, Florida 3.99 4.07 3.0
Joey Gathright, Kansas City 3.67 3.90 2.5
Nick Swisher, Chicago-A 3.70 3.68 2.0
Willy Taveras, Colorado 3.72 3.67 1.8
Reed Johnson, Chicago-N 3.77 3.32 0.0
REPLACEMENT LEVEL 3.32
Adam Jones, Baltimore 3.45 3.30 -0.1
Lastings Milledge, Washington 3.38 3.27 -0.3
Michael Bourn, Houston 3.28 3.11 -1.3
Corey Patterson, Cincinnati 2.44 2.54 -3.7
Jim Edmonds, Chicago-N 2.06 2.20 -4.3
===============================================================================
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===============================================================================
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.edu)
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|
| RC/25 for LFs (5/31) Nelson Lu 19:40:54 |
| | RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Jason Bay, Pittsburgh 8.26 9.13 30.3
Pat Burrell, Philadelphia 8.11 8.03 23.3
Adam Dunn, Cincinnati 7.70 8.02 22.0
Matt Holliday, Colorado 8.01 7.91 22.5
Jack Cust, Oakland 7.29 7.70 18.4
Carlos Quentin, Chicago-A 7.63 7.58 21.3
Ryan Braun, Milwaukee 6.15 7.13 23.2
Manny Ramirez, Boston 6.60 6.25 15.4
Fred Lewis, San Francisco 5.91 5.82 11.9
Luis Gonzalez, Florida 5.62 5.74 9.0
Johnny Damon, New York-A 6.05 5.62 11.7
Skip Schumaker, St. Louis 5.26 5.54 10.8
Alfonso Soriano, Chicago-N 6.12 5.40 9.1
Angel Pagan, New York-N 5.13 5.27 4.6
Raul Ibanez, Seattle 4.88 5.25 10.8
Carlos Lee, Houston 5.42 5.14 9.9
AVERAGE REGULAR LF 5.05
Carl Crawford, Tampa Bay 4.49 4.94 9.7
Luke Scott, Houston 4.94 4.73 5.6
David DeJesus, Kansas City 4.40 4.67 5.3
Brandon Boggs, Texas 4.72 4.62 3.1
Shannon Stewart, Toronto 4.59 4.61 4.9
Juan Pierre, Los Angeles-N 4.22 4.49 4.7
Scott Hairston, San Diego 3.84 4.37 4.4
Delmon Young, Minnesota 3.88 4.18 4.1
David Dellucci, Cleveland 3.94 3.75 1.0
Gary Matthews, Los Angeles-A 3.72 3.58 0.4
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.51
Eric Byrnes, Arizona 3.32 2.84 -3.9
Matt Diaz, Atlanta 2.75 2.45 -4.3
Wily Mo Pena, Washington 2.15 2.08 -5.2
Jacque Jones, Florida 1.54 1.39 -7.1
===============================================================================
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===============================================================================
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.edu)
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| RC/25 for SSes (5/31) Nelson Lu 19:31:18 |
| | RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Rafael Furcal, Los Angeles-N 9.81 10.47 26.4
Jeff Keppinger, Cincinnati 6.54 6.81 15.7
Hanley Ramirez, Florida 6.36 6.49 21.4
Jimmy Rollins, Philadelphia 6.46 6.40 12.6
Jose Reyes, New York-N 5.73 5.89 19.4
Miguel Tejada, HOuston 6.19 5.86 18.2
Cristian Guzman, Washington 5.65 5.47 16.7
Chris Gomez, Pittsburgh 4.95 5.47 6.0
Yunel Escobar, Atlanta 5.83 5.21 13.2
Michael Young, Texas 5.22 5.12 14.6
Ryan Theriot, Chicago-N 5.78 5.10 12.8
J. J. Hardy, Milwaukee 4.22 4.90 10.9
Yuniesky Betancourt, Seattle 4.38 4.71 9.9
Cesar Izturis, St. Louis 4.31 4.54 7.1
Stephen Drew, Arizona 5.20 4.45 8.9
Bobby Crosby, Oakland 4.10 4.33 9.3
AVERAGE REGULAR SS 4.31
Jhonny Peralta, Cleveland 4.51 4.30 7.7
Derek Jeter, New York-A 4.61 4.01 6.1
Matt Tolbert, Minnesota 3.69 3.97 2.7
Julio Lugo, Boston 4.05 3.83 4.4
David Eckstein, St. Louis 3.74 3.75 3.3
Orlando Cabrera, Chicago-A 3.65 3.63 4.9
Jason Bartlett, Tampa Bay 3.06 3.37 2.7
Erick Aybar, Los Angeles-A 3.42 3.28 1.8
Khalil Greene, San Diego 2.73 3.11 1.5
Luis Hernandez, Baltimore 3.10 2.97 0.2
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 2.88
Brian Bocock, San Francisco 1.16 1.14 -4.7
Troy Tulowitzki, Colorado 1.07 1.06 -6.6
Tony Pena, Kansas City 0.50 0.53 -12.2
===============================================================================
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===============================================================================
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.edu)
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|
| RC/25 for 3Bs (5/31) Nelson Lu 19:26:29 |
| | RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Chipper Jones, Atlanta 12.61 11.26 35.5
Ramon Vazquez, Texas 7.79 7.63 11.5
David Wright, New York-N 6.87 7.05 21.9
Aramis Ramirez, Chicago-N 7.48 6.59 16.3
Blake DeWitt, Los Angeles-N 6.15 6.54 13.0
Garrett Atkins, Colorado 6.05 5.97 14.5
Chone Figgins, Los Angeles-A 6.20 5.96 8.9
Alex Gordon, Kansas City 5.40 5.73 13.4
Alex Rodriguez, New York-A 6.16 5.73 8.0
Evan Longoria, Tampa Bay 5.20 5.73 10.7
Adrian Beltre, Seattle 5.15 5.54 12.8
Carlos Guillen, Detroit 6.23 5.43 9.7
Troy Glaus, St. Louis 5.09 5.37 10.6
Joe Crede, Chicago-A 5.35 5.31 9.2
Marco Scutaro, Toronto 5.09 5.11 7.3
AVERAGE REGULAR 3B 5.01
Jorge Cantu, Florida 4.89 4.99 9.0
Jack Hannahan, Oakland 4.69 4.96 6.6
Jose Castillo, San Francisco 4.94 4.87 7.4
Mike Lowell, Boston 5.07 4.81 5.6
Kevin Kouzmanoff, San Diego 4.18 4.76 8.6
Pedro Feliz, Philadelphia 4.69 4.65 6.6
Edwin Encarnacion, Cincinnati 4.15 4.32 4.9
Bill Hall, Milwaukee 3.67 4.26 4.5
Jose Bautista, Pittsburgh 3.66 4.04 2.6
Ryan Zimmerman, Washington 4.15 4.02 3.3
Mark Reynolds, Arizona 4.60 3.94 2.5
Mark Loretta, Houston 4.12 3.90 1.2
Melvin Mora, Baltimore 3.86 3.70 1.4
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.48
Casey Blake, Cleveland 3.52 3.35 -0.6
Mike Lamb, Minnesota 3.10 3.34 -0.7
===============================================================================
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===============================================================================
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.edu)
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|
| RC/25 for 2Bs (5/31) Nelson Lu 19:22:12 |
| | RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Chase Utley, Philadelphia 8.52 8.45 31.6
Dan Uggla, Florida 8.14 8.31 28.5
Clint Barmes, Colorado 7.51 7.41 15.5
Brandon Phillips, Cincinnati 6.36 6.62 21.2
Mark DeRosa, Chicago-N 6.97 6.14 14.7
Orlando Hudson, Arizona 7.15 6.12 14.3
Luis Castillo, New York-N 5.94 6.11 13.7
Ian Kinsler, Texas 6.00 5.87 17.6
Kelly Johnson, Atlanta 6.24 5.57 12.2
Ray Durham, San Francisco 5.57 5.49 9.0
Akinori Iwamura, Tampa Bay 4.73 5.20 13.6
Brian Roberts, Baltimore 5.32 5.09 11.9
Mark Grudzielanek, Kansas City 4.55 4.83 7.6
Tadahito Iguchi, San Diego 4.17 4.75 10.8
Jose Lopez, Seattle 4.37 4.71 9.8
Kazuo Matsui, Houston 4.88 4.62 6.7
AVERAGE REGULAR 2B 4.59
Placido Polanco, Detroit 5.20 4.53 7.3
Dustin Pedroia, Boston 4.65 4.41 8.7
Mark Ellis, Oakland 4.16 4.40 6.9
Brendan Harris, Minnesota 3.91 4.21 5.6
Rickie Weeks, Milwaukee 3.53 4.09 6.7
Aaron Hill, Toronto 3.99 4.00 5.5
Jeff Kent, Los Angeles-N 3.76 3.99 4.3
Adam Kennedy, St. Louis 3.18 3.35 1.0
Felipe Lopez, Washington 3.45 3.34 1.3
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.11
Freddy Sanchez, Pittsburgh 2.74 3.03 -0.6
Juan Uribe, Chicago-A 2.59 2.57 -2.0
Maicer Izturis, Los Angeles-A 2.67 2.56 -2.3
Robinson Cano, New York-A 2.64 2.46 -4.0
Asdrubal Cabrera, Cleveland 2.19 2.09 -4.9
===============================================================================
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===============================================================================
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.edu)
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|
| RC/25 for 1Bs (5/31) Nelson Lu 19:17:15 |
| | RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Albert Pujols, St. Louis 11.70 12.32 42.2
Lance Berkman, Houston 12.83 12.15 40.6
Justin Morneau, Minnesota 7.07 7.61 21.0
Adrian Gonzalez, San Diego 6.35 7.23 21.3
Joey Votto, Cincinnati 6.49 6.76 13.6
Prince Fielder, Milwaukee 5.66 6.56 15.4
Kevin Youkilis, Boston 6.69 6.34 13.6
Todd Helton, Colorado 6.39 6.31 14.0
Jason Giambi, New York-A 6.76 6.29 9.9
Conor Jackson, Arizona 7.34 6.28 11.6
Lyle Overbay, Toronto 6.05 6.08 11.6
Nick Johnson, Washington 6.27 6.07 7.4
Casey Kotchman, Los Angeles-A 6.23 5.98 11.0
Derrek Lee, Chicago-N 6.59 5.81 12.6
AVERAGE REGULAR 1B 5.50
Mike Jacobs, Florida 5.34 5.45 6.9
Frank Catalanotto, Texas 5.47 5.36 4.8
Miguel Cabrera, Detroit 6.03 5.25 7.7
James Loney, Los Angeles-N 4.84 5.15 7.5
Ryan Howard, Philadelphia 5.05 5.01 7.1
Carlos Pena, Tampa Bay 4.44 4.88 6.1
Mark Teixeira, Atlanta 5.45 4.87 5.8
Rich Aurilia, San Francisco 4.51 4.44 2.3
Billy Butler, Kansas City 4.09 4.34 2.5
Adam LaRoche, Pittsburgh 3.90 4.31 2.4
Kevin Millar, Baltimore 4.48 4.29 2.4
Daric Barton, Oakland 3.91 4.13 1.3
Carlos Delgado, New York-N 3.96 4.07 1.0
Paul Konerko, Chicago-A 3.95 3.93 0.2
Richie Sexson, Seattle 3.63 3.91 1.0
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.89
Ryan Garko, Cleveland 3.79 3.61 -1.3
===============================================================================
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===============================================================================
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.edu)
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|
| RC/25 Introduction (5/31) Nelson Lu 19:11:41 |
| | The following posts list major league teams' regular position players' RC/25 by
position. Here are a bit of definitions:
RC/25:
A stat created by Bill James to measure how many runs a lineup of 9
of the same individual would score in a game. (The "real" version is RC/27,
since there are 27 outs in a game; however, since certain stats are not readily
available to us during the season, James has an abbreviated version known as
RC/25 to adjust for the absence of those stats. For the formula to RC/27,
please e-mail me. It is also available in Total Baseball and many other
reference manuals.)
A = H + BB - CS
B = 1.125 * 1B + 1.69 * 2B + 3.02 * 3B + 3.73 * HR + .29 * BB
+ .492 * SB - .04 * SO
(Formerly B = TB + .64 * SB + .24 * BB - .03 * K)
C = AB + BB
RC = ((A + (2.4 * C)) * (B + (3 * C)) / (9 * C)) - (.9 * C)
O = AB - H + CS
RC/25 = RC / O * 25
(The reason why HBP, among other stats, is not included is not because I think
that they're not important; it's that the data sources I use do not include
them with the "primary stats," and therefore, adding HBP and other stats would
effectively require twice the work, and the gain, while considerable, was
judged by me to be not worth it in interim reports.)
There are three additional Bill James adjustments that I do not use:
1. He adjusts for BA with runners on base. Originally, the adjustment was
not published; but it has been, in the most recent STATS Major League
Handbook and other sources. I am, however, not incorporating this
change since I have found this change to be arbitrary and also
increasing team-dependence.
2. He also adds additional points for a non-bases empty HR. Again, this
is highly arbitrary -- why not add points for a non-bases loaded
1B, 2B, or 3B? Further, this increases team-dependence as well, which
reduces the usefulness of RC.
3. He then adds up all players' RC on a team and adjusts it in a factor
that is based on whether the team scored more than it is expected or
less. I find that this defeats the point of RC, so I do not use this
adjustment.
PRC/25:
Park-adjusted RC/25. Park adjustment is a topic that I don't know how
to explain well in a paragraph, so I will not attempt to try. However, many
works that explain it are available on the net, and any search engine should
yield a number of useful articles. For these numbers, only this year's park
factors are used.
Value:
An estimate of how many runs a player is above the ever so elusive
"replacement level" (that is, a level of performance at which a player can
easily be found at little or no cost to a team). For these posts, replacement
level is estimated at 50 points of OBP and 50 points of SLG below the average
for each position.
Notes:
1. For these posts, the players who were traded during the middle of the
season have their park factors prorated by AB + BB with the teams.
(This is not mathematically correct, but is the best I can do for now.)
2. Please send to me corrections if I misplaced someone's position.
"SABREmetrics isn't about statistics, it is about the search for new
evidence." - Bill James (thanks, Bill Reich)
===============================================================================
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===============================================================================
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.edu)
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Wednesday, 28 May 2008
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