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Saturday, 12 July 2008
RC/25 for Introduction (7/12) Nelson Lu 23:22:09
 RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Albert Pujols, St. Louis 10.66 10.77 50.1
Lance Berkman, Houston 10.32 9.72 50.7
Justin Morneau, Minnesota 7.31 7.71 37.5
ELITE LEVEL? 7.36
Adrian Gonzalez, San Diego 6.12 6.84 31.3
Kevin Youkilis, Boston 6.99 6.70 25.6
James Loney, Los Angeles-N 5.67 6.31 23.9
Dmitri Young, Washington 6.17 6.18 10.0
Jason Giambi, New York-A 6.48 6.10 17.1
Derrek Lee, Chicago-N 6.78 6.10 23.5
Prince Fielder, Milwaukee 5.87 6.05 21.5
Joey Votto, Cincinnati 5.67 5.91 18.0
Mark Teixeira, Atlanta 6.31 5.83 19.5
Conor Jackson, Arizona 6.45 5.75 15.8
Ryan Howard, Philadelphia 5.55 5.68 19.9
Miguel Cabrera, Detroit 6.30 5.63 17.1
Todd Helton, Colorado 5.94 5.53 14.6
Carlos Pena, Tampa Bay 5.10 5.52 13.2
Adam LaRoche, Pittsburgh 4.79 5.49 15.1
AVERAGE REGULAR 1B 5.46
Lyle Overbay, Toronto 5.42 5.41 13.8
Carlos Delgado, New York-N 4.86 5.12 13.0
Mike Jacobs, Florida 4.87 5.01 9.7
Rich Aurilia, San Francisco 5.09 4.98 7.9
Frank Catalanotto, Texas 4.95 4.67 4.3
Casey Kotchman, Los Angeles-A 4.81 4.60 6.9
Kevin Millar, Baltimore 4.74 4.59 7.2
Richie Sexson, Seattle 4.18 4.35 3.9
Daric Barton, Oakland 3.82 4.15 2.5
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.85
Billy Butler, Kansas City 3.71 3.74 -0.8
Ryan Garko, Cleveland 3.51 3.70 -1.3
Paul Konerko, Chicago-A 3.79 3.51 -2.6

===================­====================­====================­====================­
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
Add comment
RC/25 Introduction (7/12) Nelson Lu 23:08:47
 The following posts list major league teams' regular position players' RC/25 by
position. Here are a bit of definitions:

RC/25:

A stat created by Bill James to measure how many runs a lineup of 9
of the same individual would score in a game. (The "real" version is RC/27,
since there are 27 outs in a game; however, since certain stats are not readily
available to us during the season, James has an abbreviated version known as
RC/25 to adjust for the absence of those stats. For the formula to RC/27,
please e-mail me. It is also available in Total Baseball and many other
reference manuals.)

A = H + BB - CS
B = 1.125 * 1B + 1.69 * 2B + 3.02 * 3B + 3.73 * HR + .29 * BB
+ .492 * SB - .04 * SO
(Formerly B = TB + .64 * SB + .24 * BB - .03 * K)
C = AB + BB

RC = ((A + (2.4 * C)) * (B + (3 * C)) / (9 * C)) - (.9 * C)
O = AB - H + CS
RC/25 = RC / O * 25

(The reason why HBP, among other stats, is not included is not because I think
that they're not important; it's that the data sources I use do not include
them with the "primary stats," and therefore, adding HBP and other stats would
effectively require twice the work, and the gain, while considerable, was
judged by me to be not worth it in interim reports.)

There are three additional Bill James adjustments that I do not use:

1. He adjusts for BA with runners on base. Originally, the adjustment was
not published; but it has been, in the most recent STATS Major League
Handbook and other sources. I am, however, not incorporating this
change since I have found this change to be arbitrary and also
increasing team-dependence.

2. He also adds additional points for a non-bases empty HR. Again, this
is highly arbitrary -- why not add points for a non-bases loaded
1B, 2B, or 3B? Further, this increases team-dependence as well, which
reduces the usefulness of RC.

3. He then adds up all players' RC on a team and adjusts it in a factor
that is based on whether the team scored more than it is expected or
less. I find that this defeats the point of RC, so I do not use this
adjustment.

PRC/25:

Park-adjusted RC/25. Park adjustment is a topic that I don't know how
to explain well in a paragraph, so I will not attempt to try. However, many
works that explain it are available on the net, and any search engine should
yield a number of useful articles. For these numbers, only this year's park
factors are used.

Value:

An estimate of how many runs a player is above the ever so elusive
"replacement level" (that is, a level of performance at which a player can
easily be found at little or no cost to a team). For these posts, replacement
level is estimated at 50 points of OBP and 50 points of SLG below the average
for each position.

Notes:

1. For these posts, the players who were traded during the middle of the
season have their park factors prorated by AB + BB with the teams.
(This is not mathematically correct, but is the best I can do for now.)
2. Please send to me corrections if I misplaced someone's position.

"SABREmetrics isn't about statistics, it is about the search for new
evidence." - Bill James (thanks, Bill Reich)
===================­====================­====================­====================­
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
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Sunday, 6 July 2008
RC/25 for DHes (7/5) Nelson Lu 00:21:07
 Replacement level adjusted to match 1Bs.

RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Milton Bradley, Texas 9.21 8.63 33.2
ELITE LEVEL? 6.97
Eric Hinske, Tampa Bay 6.03 6.62 18.5
Hideki Matsui, New York-A 7.03 6.54 18.6
Frank Thomas, Oakland 5.90 6.22 10.8
Aubrey Huff, Baltimore 6.23 6.00 20.2
David Ortiz, Boston 5.92 5.75 12.2
Jason Kubel, Minnesota 5.30 5.69 14.2
AVERAGE REGULAR DH 5.15
Jim Thome, Chicago-A 5.57 5.08 10.1
Matt Stairs, Toronto 4.78 4.83 6.7
Jose Guillen, Kansas City 4.76 4.80 9.8
Gary Sheffield, Detroit 4.39 3.99 1.0
Garret Anderson, Los Angeles-A 4.15 3.86 0.5
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.80
David Dellucci, Cleveland 3.38 3.55 -1.6
Jose Vidro, Seattle 2.84 2.97 -6.2

===================­====================­====================­====================­
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
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RC/25 for Cs (7/5) Nelson Lu 00:18:38
 RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Ryan Doumit, Pittsburgh 7.87 9.04 27.7
Joe Mauer, Minnesota 7.15 7.68 34.8
Russell Martin, Los Angeles-N 6.88 7.60 38.0
ELITE LEVEL? 6.30
Dioner Navarro, Tampa Bay 5.71 6.26 19.6
Brian McCann, Atlanta 6.74 6.26 26.2
Geovanny Soto, Chicago-N 6.86 6.18 25.3
Yadier Molina, St. Louis 5.40 5.55 17.3
Gregg Zaun, Toronto 5.44 5.49 11.3
Jorge Posada, New York-A 5.77 5.37 9.2
Gerald Laird, Texas 5.37 5.03 10.2
Jesus Flores, Washington 5.01 4.98 8.7
Bengie Molina, San Francisco 4.95 4.86 14.4
A. J. Pierzynski, Chicago-A 5.27 4.80 14.2
Kurt Suzuki, Oakland 4.41 4.78 14.3
Jason Kendall, Milwaukee 4.52 4.70 12.5
AVERAGE REGULAR C 4.55
Chris Snyder, Arizona 5.01 4.44 7.9
Victor Martinez, Cleveland 4.21 4.41 7.7
Mike Napoli, Los Angeles-A 4.74 4.41 6.0
Ivan Rodriguez, Detroit 4.80 4.36 9.3
Brian Schneider, New York-N 3.98 4.13 5.8
Ramon Hernandez, Baltimore 4.00 3.85 5.8
Paul Bako, Cincinnati 3.55 3.67 3.6
John Buck, Kansas City 3.62 3.65 3.6
Jason Varitek, Boston 3.64 3.54 3.5
Matt Treanor, Florida 3.35 3.49 2.2
Yorvit Torrealba, Colorado 3.39 3.19 0.6
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.07
Carlos Ruiz, Philadelphia 2.80 2.84 -1.3
Josh Bard, San Diego 2.40 2.69 -1.6
Kenji Johjima, Seattle 2.55 2.67 -2.8
J. R. Towles, Houston 1.77 1.66 -6.2

===================­====================­====================­====================­
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
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RC/25 for RFs (7/5) Nelson Lu 00:14:30
 RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Xavier Nady, Pittsburgh 7.38 8.48 35.4
J. D. Drew, Boston 8.13 7.90 31.3
Brian Giles, San Diego 6.65 7.46 34.3
Ryan Ludwick, St. Louis 7.00 7.20 27.5
ELITE LEVEL? 6.93
Ryan Church, New York-N 6.66 6.91 18.9
Nick Markakis, Baltimore 6.63 6.38 26.0
Jermaine Dye, Chicago-A 6.85 6.24 23.1
Corey Hart, Milwaukee 6.85 6.08 23.4
Andre Ethier, Los Angeles-N 5.42 5.98 19.2
Magglio Ordonez, Detroit 6.50 5.91 19.7
Randy Winn, San Francisco 5.95 5.84 20.0
Elijah Dukes, Washington 5.84 5.80 11.5
Kosuke Fukudome, Chicago-N 6.34 5.71 18.6
V. Guerrero, Los Angeles-A 5.73 5.33 15.0
Brad Hawpe, Colorado 5.63 5.30 12.2
AVERAGE REGULAR RF 5.11
Ken Griffey, Cincinnati 4.93 5.10 13.6
Jeremy Hermida, Florida 4.84 5.04 13.1
Bobby Abreu, New York-A 5.37 5.00 13.9
Gabe Gross, Tampa Bay 4.61 4.98 7.6
Alex Rios, Toronto 4.76 4.81 12.5
Mark Teahen, Kansas City 4.57 4.61 9.8
Michael Cuddyer, Minnesota 4.21 4.52 6.7
David Murphy, Texas 4.65 4.35 7.5
Justin Upton, Arizona 4.81 4.26 5.9
Hunter Pence, Houston 4.21 3.93 3.5
Emil Brown, Oakland 3.62 3.92 2.8
Brad Wilkerson, Toronto 3.61 3.69 0.7
Geoff Jenkins, Philadelphia 3.54 3.59 0.2
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.57
Jeff Francoeur, Atlanta 3.36 3.11 -4.6
Franklin Gutierrez, Cleveland 2.65 2.78 -4.9

===================­====================­====================­====================­
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
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RC/25 for CFs (7/5) Nelson Lu 00:09:45
 RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Nate McLouth, Pittsburgh 6.16 7.08 36.6
Grady Sizemore, Cleveland 6.63 6.95 36.5
Josh Hamilton, Texas 7.20 6.75 32.9
B. J. Upton, Tampa Bay 6.04 6.62 30.9
ELITE LEVEL? 6.44
Carlos Beltran, New York-N 6.05 6.27 28.6
Ichiro Suzuki, Seattle 5.71 5.97 27.5
Rick Ankiel, St. Louis 5.69 5.85 21.7
Ryan Sweeney, Oakland 5.31 5.76 13.5
Matt Kemp, Los Angeles-N 5.19 5.73 21.9
Jody Gerut, San Diego 5.00 5.61 13.0
Aaron Rowand, San Francisco 5.50 5.40 18.6
Curtis Granderson, Detroit 5.94 5.40 15.3
Cody Ross, Florida 5.03 5.24 12.5
Mike Cameron, Milwaukee 4.93 5.12 11.2
Vernon Wells, Toronto 4.97 5.03 12.3
Jacoby Ellsbury, Boston 5.11 4.96 14.9
AVERAGE REGULAR CF 4.71
Shane Victorino, Philadelphia 4.63 4.69 12.4
Jim Edmonds, Chicago-N 4.73 4.65 8.9
Mark Kotsay, Atlanta 4.93 4.58 7.1
Torii Hunter, Los Angeles-A 4.82 4.49 11.5
Nick Swisher, Chicago-A 4.87 4.44 10.8
Adam Jones, Baltimore 4.44 4.28 9.2
Carlos Gomez, Minnesota 3.87 4.15 9.5
Lastings Milledge, Washington 3.71 3.69 4.2
Chris B. Young, Arizona 4.15 3.68 4.7
Melky Cabrera, New York-A 3.94 3.66 3.8
Willy Taveras, Colorado 3.66 3.45 1.8
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.23
Joey Gathright, Kansas City 3.11 3.14 -0.6
Michael Bourn, Houston 3.03 3.83 -4.0
Corey Patterson, Cincinnati 2.02 2.09 -7.4

===================­====================­====================­====================­
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
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RC/25 for LFs (7/5) Nelson Lu 00:04:55
 RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Pat Burrell, Philadelphia 8.29 8.41 37.6
Jason Bay, Pittsburgh 7.30 8.39 40.2
Matt Holliday, Colorado 8.68 8.17 32.4
ELITE LEVEL? 7.21
Adam Dunn, Cincinnati 6.60 6.83 25.0
David DeJesus, Kansas City 6.52 6.58 20.9
Jack Cust, Oakland 6.01 6.51 21.7
Skip Schumaker, St. Louis 6.14 6.31 20.7
Manny Ramirez, Boston 6.42 6.24 21.6
Johnny Damon, New York-A 6.61 6.15 20.8
Marcus Thames, Detroit 6.57 5.97 10.3
Carlos Lee, Houston 6.38 5.96 20.1
Ryan Braun, Milwaukee 5.60 5.82 20.3
Fred Lewis, San Francisco 5.92 5.81 17.6
Carlos Quentin, Chicago-A 6.36 5.79 17.8
Raul Ibanez, Seattle 5.46 5.71 18.6
Luke Scott, Houston 5.88 5.66 13.9
Alfonso Soriano, Chicago-N 6.20 5.58 11.0
Carl Crawford, Tampa Bay 4.98 5.47 16.5
Luis Gonzalez, Florida 5.22 5.43 11.0
AVERAGE REGULAR LF 5.35
Ben Francisco, Cleveland 5.00 5.25 9.1
Delmon Young, Minnesota 4.82 5.17 12.3
Gregor Blanco, Atlanta 5.16 4.79 6.7
Juan Pierre, Los Angeles-N 4.11 4.54 6.2
Scott Hairston, San Diego 3.93 4.41 4.4
Brandon Boggs, Texas 4.70 4.40 2.9
Shannon Stewart, Toronto 3.80 3.84 0.3
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.78
Gary Matthews, Los Angeles-A 3.95 3.67 -1.0
Endy Chavez, New York-N 3.51 3.64 -0.7
Eric Byrnes, Arizona 2.88 2.55 -8.2
Wily Mo Pena, Washington 2.22 2.21 -8.8

===================­====================­====================­====================­
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
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Saturday, 5 July 2008
RC/25 for SSes (7/5) Nelson Lu 23:59:21
 RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Rafael Furcal, Los Angeles-N 9.81 10.86 27.4
Hanley Ramirez, Florida 7.41 7.71 45.7
Clint Barmes, Colorado 7.21 6.78 16.4
Jose Reyes, New York-N 6.06 6.29 34.4
J. J. Hardy, Milwaukee 6.02 6.25 25.4
ELITE LEVEL? 6.15
Jimmy Rollins, Philadelphia 5.62 5.70 20.0
Jeff Keppinger, Cincinnati 5.50 5.69 14.3
Jack Wilson, Pittsburgh 4.93 5.66 10.3
Cristian Guzman, Washington 5.34 5.31 23.8
Aaron Miles, St. Louis 5.12 5.27 13.1
Ryan Theriot, Chicago-N 5.46 4.92 17.2
Michael Young, Texas 5.24 4.91 19.2
Yunel Escobar, Atlanta 5.28 4.90 17.0
Jhonny Peralta, Cleveland 4.56 4.78 16.4
Derek Jeter, New York-A 4.81 4.47 13.7
AVERAGE REGULAR SS 4.45
Miguel Tejada, Houston 4.76 4.45 14.5
Bobby Crosby, Oakland 4.06 4.40 14.0
Marco Scutaro, Toronto 4.34 4.38 10.3
Julio Lugo, Boston 4.37 4.24 9.2
Stephen Drew, Arizona 4.48 3.97 9.0
Yuniesky Betancourt, Seattle 3.76 3.93 8.1
Orlando Cabrera, Chicago-A 4.31 3.93 9.7
Brendan Harris, Minnesota 3.64 3.90 7.5
Erick Aybar, Los Angeles-A 3.88 3.61 3.5
Jason Bartlett, Tampa Bay 3.28 3.60 5.0
Edgar Renteria, Detroit 3.96 3.60 5.2
Khalil Greene, San Diego 3.16 3.54 5.5
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 2.99
Omar Vizquel, San Francisco 1.29 1.26 -7.9
Freddie Bynum, Baltimore 1.26 1.21 -6.2
Tony Pena, Kansas City 0.73 0.74 -13.2

===================­====================­====================­====================­
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
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RC/25 for 3Bs (7/5) Nelson Lu 21:33:04
 RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Chipper Jones, Atlanta 11.97 11.11 48.8
Alex Rodriguez, New York-A 8.40 7.81 28.2
David Wright, New York-N 6.96 7.23 33.8
Evan Longoria, Tampa Bay 6.56 7.20 27.8
ELITE LEVEL? 7.06
Mike Lowell, Boston 6.58 6.39 20.1
Ramon Vazquez, Texas 6.72 6.29 14.0
Troy Glaus, St. Louis 5.95 6.11 21.7
Scott Rolen, Toronto 5.78 5.84 14.2
Garrett Atkins, Colorado 6.08 5.73 19.1
Casey Blake, Cleveland 5.44 5.70 15.8
Jose Bautista, Pittsburgh 4.96 5.70 14.7
Aramis Ramirez, Chicago-N 6.31 5.68 17.4
Jorge Cantu, Florida 5.35 5.57 18.7
Carlos Guillen, Detroit 5.94 5.40 14.6
Adrian Beltre, Seattle 5.09 5.33 15.7
AVERAGE REGULAR 3B 5.22
Edwin Encarnacion, Cincinnati 4.95 5.12 11.9
Mark Reynolds, Arizona 5.69 5.04 11.7
Ty Wigginton, Houston 5.30 4.95 6.5
Alex Gordon, Kansas City 4.84 4.88 11.8
Blake DeWitt, Los Angeles-N 4.42 4.87 8.7
Joe Crede, Chicago-A 5.33 4.86 9.6
Kevin Kouzmanoff, San Diego 4.31 4.84 11.1
Pedro Feliz, Philadelphia 4.75 4.82 9.7
Chone Figgins, Los Angeles-A 5.00 4.65 5.7
Ryan Zimmerman, Washington 4.54 4.46 7.0
Jack Hannahan, Oakland 3.64 3.95 2.1
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.67
Bill Hall, Milwaukee 3.18 3.31 -2.8
Melvin Mora, Baltimore 3.32 3.19 -4.5
Mike Lamb, Minnesota 2.75 2.96 -4.4

===================­====================­====================­====================­
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
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RC/25 for 2Bs (7/5) Nelson Lu 21:18:37
 RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Dan Uggla, Florida 7.53 7.86 36.1
Chase Utley, Philadelphia 7.74 7.85 40.7
Ian Kinsler, Texas 7.61 7.13 35.5
Alexi Casilla, Minnesota 6.51 6.99 15.4
ELITE LEVEL? 6.79
Brian Roberts, Baltimore 6.22 5.99 24.4
Brandon Phillips, Cincinnati 5.70 5.90 24.0
Dustin Pedroia, Boston 6.04 5.87 23.9
Ray Durham, San Francisco 5.91 5.81 15.9
Mark Grudzielanek, Kansas City 5.68 5.73 16.4
Mark Ellis, Oakland 5.27 5.72 19.9
Mark DeRosa, Chicago-N 6.07 5.47 16.1
Orlando Hudson, Arizona 6.06 5.37 15.8
Kelly Johnson, Atlanta 5.70 5.29 15.5
Placido Polanco, Detroit 5.80 5.27 14.7
Akinori Iwamura, Tampa Bay 4.77 5.23 17.4
Luis Castillo, New York-N 5.03 5.22 12.9
Jose Lopez, Seattle 4.87 5.09 15.7
Jeff Kent, Los Angeles-N 4.53 5.00 12.0
AVERAGE REGULAR 2B 4.99
Jamey Carroll, Cleveland 4.65 4.88 7.6
Jeff Baker, Colorado 4.99 4.69 5.7
Tadahito Iguchi, San Diego 4.16 4.67 8.6
Alexei Ramirez, Chicago-A 4.64 4.23 4.4
Adam Kennedy, St. Louis 4.09 4.21 4.4
Kazuo Matsui, Houston 4.46 4.17 4.7
Aaron Hill, Toronto 3.99 4.03 3.5
Maicer Izturis, Los Angeles-A 4.24 3.95 3.2
Rickie Weeks, Milwaukee 3.63 3.77 2.7
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.46
Felipe Lopez, Washington 3.41 3.39 -0.6
Robinson Cano, New York-A 3.29 3.06 -3.8
Freddy Sanchez, Pittsburgh 2.56 2.94 -5.3

===================­====================­====================­====================­
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
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RC/25 for 1Bs (7/5) Nelson Lu 21:14:07
 RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Albert Pujols, St. Louis 10.73 11.03 48.6
Lance Berkman, Houston 10.55 9.85 48.9
ELITE LEVEL? 7.28
Justin Morneau, Minnesota 6.68 7.17 30.9
Adrian Gonzalez, San Diego 6.27 7.03 31.5
Kevin Youkilis, Boston 6.92 6.72 24.4
James Loney, Los Angeles-N 5.91 6.52 24.4
Jason Giambi, New York-A 6.89 6.41 18.5
Conor Jackson, Arizona 6.95 6.16 17.7
Mark Teixeira, Atlanta 6.48 6.01 20.2
Prince Fielder, Milwaukee 5.78 6.01 20.2
Derrek Lee, Chicago-N 6.51 5.86 20.4
Joey Votto, Cincinnati 5.54 5.73 15.9
Todd Helton, Colorado 5.94 5.59 15.6
Lyle Overbay, Toronto 5.37 5.43 13.7
AVERAGE REGULAR 1B 5.40
Carlos Pena, Tampa Bay 4.77 5.23 10.3
Miguel Cabrera, Detroit 5.74 5.22 12.8
Rich Aurilia, San Francisco 5.27 5.17 8.8
Frank Catalanotto, Texas 5.33 4.99 6.0
Mike Jacobs, Florida 4.79 4.99 9.2
Ryan Howard, Philadelphia 4.83 4.90 11.2
Adam LaRoche, Pittsburgh 4.21 4.84 9.0
Casey Kotchman, Los Angeles-A 5.18 4.82 8.6
Carlos Delgado, New York-N 4.52 4.70 8.5
Kevin Millar, Baltimore 4.76 4.58 7.0
Billy Butler, Kansas City 4.40 4.43 3.8
Richie Sexson, Seattle 4.12 4.31 3.8
Daric Barton, Oakland 3.77 4.09 2.3
Aaron Boone, Washington 4.11 4.09 1.4
Ryan Garko, Cleveland 3.74 3.93 1.0
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.80
Paul Konerko, Chicago-A 4.07 3.70 -0.7

===================­====================­====================­====================­
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
Add comment
RC/25 Introduction (7/5) Nelson Lu 21:09:39
 The following posts list major league teams' regular position players' RC/25 by
position. Here are a bit of definitions:

RC/25:

A stat created by Bill James to measure how many runs a lineup of 9
of the same individual would score in a game. (The "real" version is RC/27,
since there are 27 outs in a game; however, since certain stats are not readily
available to us during the season, James has an abbreviated version known as
RC/25 to adjust for the absence of those stats. For the formula to RC/27,
please e-mail me. It is also available in Total Baseball and many other
reference manuals.)

A = H + BB - CS
B = 1.125 * 1B + 1.69 * 2B + 3.02 * 3B + 3.73 * HR + .29 * BB
+ .492 * SB - .04 * SO
(Formerly B = TB + .64 * SB + .24 * BB - .03 * K)
C = AB + BB

RC = ((A + (2.4 * C)) * (B + (3 * C)) / (9 * C)) - (.9 * C)
O = AB - H + CS
RC/25 = RC / O * 25

(The reason why HBP, among other stats, is not included is not because I think
that they're not important; it's that the data sources I use do not include
them with the "primary stats," and therefore, adding HBP and other stats would
effectively require twice the work, and the gain, while considerable, was
judged by me to be not worth it in interim reports.)

There are three additional Bill James adjustments that I do not use:

1. He adjusts for BA with runners on base. Originally, the adjustment was
not published; but it has been, in the most recent STATS Major League
Handbook and other sources. I am, however, not incorporating this
change since I have found this change to be arbitrary and also
increasing team-dependence.

2. He also adds additional points for a non-bases empty HR. Again, this
is highly arbitrary -- why not add points for a non-bases loaded
1B, 2B, or 3B? Further, this increases team-dependence as well, which
reduces the usefulness of RC.

3. He then adds up all players' RC on a team and adjusts it in a factor
that is based on whether the team scored more than it is expected or
less. I find that this defeats the point of RC, so I do not use this
adjustment.

PRC/25:

Park-adjusted RC/25. Park adjustment is a topic that I don't know how
to explain well in a paragraph, so I will not attempt to try. However, many
works that explain it are available on the net, and any search engine should
yield a number of useful articles. For these numbers, only this year's park
factors are used.

Value:

An estimate of how many runs a player is above the ever so elusive
"replacement level" (that is, a level of performance at which a player can
easily be found at little or no cost to a team). For these posts, replacement
level is estimated at 50 points of OBP and 50 points of SLG below the average
for each position.

Notes:

1. For these posts, the players who were traded during the middle of the
season have their park factors prorated by AB + BB with the teams.
(This is not mathematically correct, but is the best I can do for now.)
2. Please send to me corrections if I misplaced someone's position.

"SABREmetrics isn't about statistics, it is about the search for new
evidence." - Bill James (thanks, Bill Reich)
===================­====================­====================­====================­
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===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
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Friday, 4 July 2008
Prediction is an inexact science Steve Casburn 05:01:19
 

The Sporting News baseball preview for 2008 had a Top 25 preseason
ranking for college baseball teams.

Here's how the rankings matched up to the "rankings" of the actual
College World Series:

1. Fresno State [SN: unranked]
2. Georgia [SN: unranked]
3. North Carolina [SN: 5th]
4. Stanford [SN: unranked]
5. Louisiana State [SN: 25th]
Miami [SN: 2nd]
7. Rice [SN: 14th]
Florida State [SN: 24th]


Three of the top four unranked. Two others in the top eight barely
ranked.

That's rank.


Steve



--
Steve Casburn <steve.casburn@gmai­l.com>
"Shut up he explained" - Ring Lardner, Jr.
comment 3 answer | Add comment
Sunday, 29 June 2008
Old Baseball films on dvd Guest 20:43:58
 I just purchases a dvd called summer of '57. It is a collection of short
baseball footage from 1957, about a hour long. I really like the content and
quality and would like to get other different years, however, they are
$30.00 per dvd. I would like to find someone to share the costs in return
for a copy. Please contact me off line.


Add comment
Saturday, 28 June 2008
RC/25 for DHes (6/28) Nelson Lu 23:48:22
 Replacement level adjusted ot match 1Bs.

RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Milton Bradley, Texas 9.82 9.10 32.7
Eric Hinske, Tampa Bay 6.35 7.11 20.3
ELITE LEVEL? 7.02
Hideki Matsui, New York-A 7.03 6.63 19.2
Frank Thomas, Oakland 5.90 6.25 11.0
Aubrey Huff, Baltimore 5.93 5.83 17.0
David Ortiz, Boston 5.92 5.68 11.8
Jason Kubel, Minnesota 5.15 5.50 12.0
AVERAGE REGULAR DH 5.19
Jose Guillen, Kansas City 5.18 5.17 12.0
Jim Thome, Chicago-A 5.29 4.84 7.5
Matt Stairs, Toronto 4.70 4.75 5.8
Gary Sheffield, Detroit 4.75 4.29 2.3
Gary Matthews, Los Angeles-A 4.08 3.89 0.7
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.80
David Dellucci, Cleveland 3.46 3.60 -1.2
Jose Vidro, Seattle 2.79 2.91 -6.1

===================­====================­====================­====================­
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===================­====================­====================­====================­
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RC/25 for Cs (6/28) Nelson Lu 23:45:42
 RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Ryan Doumit, Pittsburgh 8.68 10.22 28.2
Joe Mauer, Minnesota 7.24 7.73 32.9
Russell Martin, Los Angeles-N 6.93 7.56 34.7
Dioner Navarro, Tampa Bay 6.16 6.90 21.1
Brian McCann, Atlanta 6.92 6.41 25.6
ELITE LEVEL? 6.24
Geovanny Soto, Chicago-N 6.71 6.00 22.1
Bengie Molina, San Francisco 5.54 5.54 18.1
Jesus Flores, Washington 5.60 5.52 10.0
Gregg Zaun, Toronto 5.39 5.45 10.9
Yadier Molina, St. Louis 5.17 5.34 15.0
Gerald Laird, Texas 5.37 4.98 10.1
Kurt Suzuki, Oakland 4.28 4.68 12.7
A. J. Pierzynski, Chicago-A 5.11 4.67 12.3
Chris Snyder, Arizona 5.13 4.56 8.6
AVERAGE REGULAR C 4.50
Jason Kendall, Milwaukee 4.28 4.48 10.3
Victor Martinez, Cleveland 4.21 4.38 7.7
Mike Napoli, Los Angeles-A 4.46 4.25 5.1
Brian Schneider, New York-N 4.11 4.21 6.1
Ivan Rodriguez, Detroit 4.66 4.21 7.9
Jason Varitek, Boston 3.96 3.80 5.1
Paul Bako, Cincinnati 3.66 3.78 4.2
John Buck, Kansas City 3.77 3.76 4.2
Ramon Hernandez, Baltimore 3.63 3.57 3.6
Matt Treanor, Florida 3.07 3.11 0.4
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.03
Carlos Ruiz, Philadelphia 2.99 3.03 -0.0
Yorvit Torrealba, Colorado 3.04 2.96 -0.3
Kenji Johjima, Seattle 2.84 2.96 -0.5
Josh Bard, San Diego 2.40 2.69 -1.4
Jose Molina, New York-A 2.10 1.98 -4.5
J. R. Towles, Houston 1.85 1.73 -5.2

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GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
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RC/25 for CFs (6/28) Nelson Lu 23:36:35
 RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Nate McLouth, Pittsburgh 6.45 7.60 38.9
B. J. Upton, Tampa Bay 6.28 7.04 31.5
Carlos Beltran, New York-N 6.74 6.92 31.3
Grady Sizemore, Cleveland 6.59 6.86 32.7
Josh Hamilton, Texas 7.24 6.71 30.2
ELITE LEVEL? 6.45
Ryan Sweeney, Oakland 5.48 5.99 13.2
Matt Kemp, Los Angeles-N 5.30 5.79 20.4
Ichiro Suzuki, Seattle 5.42 5.65 22.6
Rick Ankiel, St. Louis 5.39 5.56 17.5
Aaron Rowand, San Francisco 5.50 5.50 17.8
Curtis Granderson, Detroit 5.83 5.27 12.8
Jacoby Ellsbury, Boston 5.44 5.21 15.0
Shane Victorino, Philadelphia 5.06 5.12 14.2
Mark Kotsay, Atlanta 5.46 5.06 8.8
Torii Hunter, Los Angeles-A 5.12 4.87 13.8
Vernon Wells, Toronto 4.80 4.85 10.0
AVERAGE REGULAR CF 4.72
Jim Edmonds, Chicago-N 4.60 4.58 7.3
Mike Cameron, Milwaukee 4.32 4.53 7.0
Cody Ross, Florida 4.44 4.49 6.9
Nick Swisher, Chicago-A 4.88 4.46 10.0
Melky Cabrera, New York-A 4.27 4.03 6.2
Adam Jones, Baltimore 4.01 3.95 5.7
Carlos Gomez, Minnesota 3.67 3.92 6.6
Reed Johnson, Chicago-N 4.09 3.65 2.2
Chris B. Young, Arizona 4.09 3.63 3.8
Lastings Milledge, Washington 3.63 3.58 3.1
Willy Taveras, Colorado 3.60 3.51 2.1
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.24
Michael Bourn, Houston 3.28 3.06 -1.6
Joey Gathright, Kansas City 2.85 2.84 -2.5
Corey Patterson, Cincinnati 2.21 2.27 -6.0

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GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
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RC/25 for LFs (6/28) Nelson Lu 23:31:36
 RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Jason Bay, Pittsburgh 7.45 8.78 40.3
Pat Burrell, Philadelphia 8.19 8.29 34.5
Matt Holliday, Colorado 8.01 7.80 27.6
ELITE LEVEL? 7.13
Jack Cust, Oakland 6.19 6.77 21.6
Adam Dunn, Cincinnati 6.27 6.46 20.9
Ryan Braun, Milwaukee 6.14 6.43 24.8
Skip Schumaker, St. Louis 6.23 6.43 20.1
Carlos Quentin, Chicago-A 7.02 6.42 21.3
Johnny Damon, New York-A 6.80 6.40 21.1
Manny Ramirez, Boston 6.56 6.30 20.5
David DeJesus, Kansas City 6.19 6.18 17.4
Luke Scott, Baltimore 6.07 5.97 14.6
Freddy Lewis, San Francisco 5.82 5.81 16.3
Marcus Thames, Detroit 6.41 5.80 8.4
Carl Crawford, Tampa Bay 5.05 5.66 17.4
Alfonso Soriano, Chicago-N 6.20 5.54 11.1
Raul Ibanez, Seattle 5.31 5.53 16.0
Ben Francisco, Cleveland 5.24 5.46 9.2
Luis Gonzalez, Florida 5.24 5.29 10.1
Carlos Lee, Houston 5.67 5.29 13.6
AVERAGE REGULAR LF 5.29
Delmon Young, Minnesota 4.45 4.75 8.4
Juan Pierre, Los Angeles-N 4.23 4.62 7.1
Brandon Boggs, Texas 4.74 4.39 2.9
Gregor Blanco, Atlanta 4.60 4.26 3.3
Scott Hairston, San Diego 3.76 4.22 3.4
Shannon Stewart, Toronto 3.80 3.84 0.6
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.72
Garret Anderson, Los Angeles-A 3.66 3.48 -2.1
Endy Chavez, New York-N 2.92 3.00 -3.4
Eric Byrnes, Arizona 3.01 2.67 -6.8
Wily Mo Pena, Washington 2.20 2.17 -8.5

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GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
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RC/25 for SSes (6/28) Nelson Lu 23:26:22
 RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Rafael Furcal, Los Angeles-N 9.84 10.75 27.5
Hanley Ramirez, Florida 6.93 7.00 36.8
Jose Reyes, New York-N 6.20 6.36 33.4
Jeff Keppinger, Cincinnati 6.14 6.33 15.7
Jack Wilson, Pittsburgh 5.16 6.07 9.9
ELITE LEVEL? 5.97
Jimmy Rollins, Philadelphia 5.23 5.29 16.5
Yunel Escobar, Atlanta 5.55 5.14 19.3
Ryan Theriot, Chicago-N 5.73 5.12 18.7
Cristian Guzman, Washington 5.19 5.11 21.8
J. J. Hardy, Milwaukee 4.69 4.91 14.8
Miguel Tejada, Houston 5.03 4.69 16.8
Julio Lugo, Boston 4.80 4.60 11.6
Derek Jeter, New York-A 4.85 4.57 14.2
Bobby Crosby, Oakland 4.13 4.51 15.5
Michael Young, Texas 4.86 4.50 15.6
Marco Scutaro, Toronto 4.29 4.34 10.1
Jhonny Peralta, Cleveland 4.15 4.32 12.6
AVERAGE REGULAR SS 4.29
Orlando Cabrera, Chicago-A 4.68 4.28 13.6
Brendan Harris, Minnesota 3.80 4.06 9.3
Stephen Drew, Arizona 4.39 3.90 8.9
Yuniesky Betancourt, Seattle 3.74 3.89 8.4
Omar Quintanilla, Colorado 3.91 3.81 3.8
Edgar Renteria, Detroit 4.08 3.69 6.5
Erick Aybar, Los Angeles-A 3.82 3.64 4.2
Khalil Greene, San Diego 3.16 3.54 6.3
Cesar Izturis, St. Louis 3.35 3.46 3.7
Jason Bartlett, Tampa Bay 2.90 3.25 3.1
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 2.85
Omar Vizquel, San Francisco 1.54 1.54 -5.1
Freddie Bynum, Baltimore 1.27 1.25 -5.3
Tony Pena, Kansas City 0.45 0.45 -13.9

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GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
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RC/25 for 3Bs (6/28) Nelson Lu 23:21:56
 RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Chipper Jones, Atlanta 12.09 11.20 46.5
Alex Rodriguez, New York-A 8.40 7.91 25.0
Evan Longoria, Tampa Bay 6.36 7.13 25.3
ELITE LEVEL? 7.05
David Wright, New York-N 6.61 6.78 27.8
Ramon Vazquez, Texas 7.17 6.65 14.2
Aramis Ramirez, Chicago-N 7.11 6.36 21.5
Troy Glaus, St. Louis 5.81 6.00 19.4
Scott Rolen, Toronto 5.77 5.84 12.9
Carlos Guillen, Detroit 6.42 5.80 16.3
Jose Bautista, Pittsburgh 4.90 5.77 14.1
Mike Lowell, Boston 5.89 5.65 13.5
Chone Figgins, Los Angeles-A 5.82 5.54 9.5
Garrett Atkins, Colorado 5.62 5.47 15.5
Jorge Cantu, Florida 5.35 5.41 15.7
AVERAGE REGULAR 3B 5.21
Blake DeWitt, Los Angeles-N 4.77 5.21 10.2
Casey Blake, Cleveland 4.95 5.16 11.0
Alex Gordon, Kansas City 5.06 5.05 12.2
Joe Crede, Chicago-A 5.52 5.04 10.2
Adrian Beltre, Seattle 4.77 4.97 11.4
Edwin Encarnacion, Cincinnati 4.80 4.95 10.1
Mark Reynolds, Arizona 5.49 4.88 9.7
Ty Wigginton, Housotn 5.22 4.87 5.6
Kevin Kouzmanoff, San Diego 4.27 4.79 10.0
Pedro Feliz, Philadelphia 4.73 4.79 8.8
Jose Castillo, Pittsburgh 4.70 4.69 8.5
Jack Hannahan, Oakland 3.89 4.26 4.0
Ryan Zimmerman, Washington 4.15 4.09 2.7
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.66
Bill Hall, Milwaukee 3.21 3.36 -2.2
Melvin Mora, Baltimore 3.40 3.35 -2.7
Mike Lamb, Minnesota 2.63 2.81 -5.1

===================­====================­====================­====================­
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
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RC/25 for 2Bs (6/28) Nelson Lu 23:17:17
 RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Chase Utley, Philadelphia 7.55 7.65 37.1
Dan Uggla, Florida 7.43 7.51 34.3
ELITE LEVEL? 6.62
Ian Kinsler, Texas 7.06 6.55 29.4
Brian Roberts, Baltimore 6.60 6.49 27.6
Clint Barmes, Colorado 6.65 6.47 12.8
Alexi Casilla, Minnesota 5.96 5.37 12.2
Ray Durham, San Francisco 5.58 5.57 13.8
Mark Ellis, Oakland 5.07 5.54 17.8
Mark DeRosa, Chicago-N 6.14 5.49 15.5
Brandon Phillips, Cincinnati 5.30 5.46 19.5
Akinori Iwamura, Tampa Bay 4.81 5.40 19.5
Placido Polanco, Detroit 5.88 5.31 14.9
Orlando Hudson, Arizona 5.96 5.29 15.1
Kelly Johnson, Atlanta 5.61 5.20 14.8
Jose Lopez, Seattle 4.94 5.14 16.1
Dustin Pedroia, Boston 5.36 5.14 16.8
Mark Grudzielanek, Kansas City 5.15 5.14 11.7
Luis Castillo, New York-N 4.87 5.00 11.8
AVERAGE REGULAR 2B 4.84
Tadahito Iguchi, San Diego 4.16 4.67 9.5
Jeff Kent, Los Angeles-N 3.96 4.32 7.1
Alexei Ramirez, Chicago-A 4.72 4.31 4.9
Kazuo Matsui, Houston 4.46 4.17 5.6
Rickie Weeks, Milwaukee 3.97 4.16 6.5
Maicer Izturis, Los Angeles-A 4.33 4.13 4.8
Aaron Hill, Toronto 3.99 4.03 4.3
Adam Kennedy, St. Louis 3.87 3.99 3.7
Felipe Lopez, Washington 3.70 3.65 2.4
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.33
Freddy Sanchez, Pittsburgh 2.72 3.20 -1.3
Robinson Cano, New York-A 3.10 2.92 -3.7
Asdrubal Cabrera, Cleveland 2.22 2.32 -5.3

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===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
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RC/25 for 1Bs (6/28) Nelson Lu 23:12:51
 Again, thoughtful comments on the "elite level" concept is requested and would
be appreciated.

RC/25 PRC/25 Value
Albert Pujols, St. Louis 11.31 11.67 46.6
Lance Berkman, Houston 11.07 10.33 47.8
Adrian Gonzalez, San Diego 6.83 7.65 34.5
ELITE LEVEL? 7.28
Justin Morneau, Minnesota 6.51 6.96 27.3
Kevin Youkilis, Boston 7.09 6.80 22.7
Jason Giambi, New York-A 6.98 6.58 17.6
Prince Fielder, Milwaukee 6.25 6.55 23.0
James Loney, Los Angeles-N 5.99 6.54 22.5
Conor Jackson, Arizona 7.17 6.36 17.2
Mark Teixeira, Atlanta 6.28 5.81 17.4
Joey Votto, Cincinnati 5.59 5.76 15.0
Todd Helton, Colorado 5.91 5.75 16.1
Lyle Overbay, Toronto 5.46 5.53 13.5
Derrek Lee, Chicago-N 6.09 5.44 15.2
AVERAGE REGULAR 1B 5.40
Rich Aurilia, San Francisco 5.25 5.24 8.3
Casey Kotchman, Los Angeles-A 5.47 5.21 10.9
Carlos Pena, Tampa Bay 4.58 5.13 8.7
Miguel Cabrera, Detroit 5.66 5.12 11.2
Kevin Millar, Baltimore 4.80 4.72 7.7
Frank Catalanotto, Texas 5.00 4.63 4.1
Ryan Howard, Philadelphia 4.53 4.58 7.5
Aaron Boone, Washington 4.61 4.54 3.3
Mike Jacobs, Florida 4.49 4.54 5.3
Carlos Delgado, New York-N 4.39 4.50 6.2
Daric Barton, Oakland 3.94 4.31 3.8
Adam LaRoche, Pittsburgh 3.54 4.17 3.1
Ryan Garko, Cleveland 3.98 4.15 2.6
Richie Sexson, Seattle 3.97 4.14 2.3
Billy Butler, Kansas City 4.09 4.08 1.5
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.80
Paul Konerko, Chicago-A 4.07 3.72 -0.6

===================­====================­====================­====================­
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===================­====================­====================­====================­
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RC/25 Introduction (6/28) Nelson Lu 23:07:24
 The following posts list major league teams' regular position players' RC/25 by
position. Here are a bit of definitions:

RC/25:

A stat created by Bill James to measure how many runs a lineup of 9
of the same individual would score in a game. (The "real" version is RC/27,
since there are 27 outs in a game; however, since certain stats are not readily
available to us during the season, James has an abbreviated version known as
RC/25 to adjust for the absence of those stats. For the formula to RC/27,
please e-mail me. It is also available in Total Baseball and many other
reference manuals.)

A = H + BB - CS
B = 1.125 * 1B + 1.69 * 2B + 3.02 * 3B + 3.73 * HR + .29 * BB
+ .492 * SB - .04 * SO
(Formerly B = TB + .64 * SB + .24 * BB - .03 * K)
C = AB + BB

RC = ((A + (2.4 * C)) * (B + (3 * C)) / (9 * C)) - (.9 * C)
O = AB - H + CS
RC/25 = RC / O * 25

(The reason why HBP, among other stats, is not included is not because I think
that they're not important; it's that the data sources I use do not include
them with the "primary stats," and therefore, adding HBP and other stats would
effectively require twice the work, and the gain, while considerable, was
judged by me to be not worth it in interim reports.)

There are three additional Bill James adjustments that I do not use:

1. He adjusts for BA with runners on base. Originally, the adjustment was
not published; but it has been, in the most recent STATS Major League
Handbook and other sources. I am, however, not incorporating this
change since I have found this change to be arbitrary and also
increasing team-dependence.

2. He also adds additional points for a non-bases empty HR. Again, this
is highly arbitrary -- why not add points for a non-bases loaded
1B, 2B, or 3B? Further, this increases team-dependence as well, which
reduces the usefulness of RC.

3. He then adds up all players' RC on a team and adjusts it in a factor
that is based on whether the team scored more than it is expected or
less. I find that this defeats the point of RC, so I do not use this
adjustment.

PRC/25:

Park-adjusted RC/25. Park adjustment is a topic that I don't know how
to explain well in a paragraph, so I will not attempt to try. However, many
works that explain it are available on the net, and any search engine should
yield a number of useful articles. For these numbers, only this year's park
factors are used.

Value:

An estimate of how many runs a player is above the ever so elusive
"replacement level" (that is, a level of performance at which a player can
easily be found at little or no cost to a team). For these posts, replacement
level is estimated at 50 points of OBP and 50 points of SLG below the average
for each position.

Notes:

1. For these posts, the players who were traded during the middle of the
season have their park factors prorated by AB + BB with the teams.
(This is not mathematically correct, but is the best I can do for now.)
2. Please send to me corrections if I misplaced someone's position.

"SABREmetrics isn't about statistics, it is about the search for new
evidence." - Bill James (thanks, Bill Reich)
===================­====================­====================­====================­
GO (LOS ANGELES) ANGELS OF ANAHEIM!
===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
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Friday, 27 June 2008
ACC - Return to Baseball Dominants Bill Lang 05:47:55
 FSU rolled like slobbering dawgs over them, well, slobbering Dawgs.

Awesome!

--
wjlmuttatyeahwhodot­com

"I before E except after C, and E before N in chicken"
comment 6 answers | Add comment
Sunday, 22 June 2008
RC/25 for DHes (6/21) Nelson Lu 00:17:56
 Elite and replacement levels adjusted to match 1Bs.

Milton Bradley, Texas 9.75 9.07 31.1
ELITE LEVEL? 7.34
Hideki Matsui, New York-A 7.04 6.56 17.7
Eric Hinske, Tampa Bay 5.77 6.39 14.9
Frank Thomas, Oakland 5.90 6.21 10.6
Aubrey Huff, Baltimore 6.00 5.85 16.0
David Ortiz, Boston 5.92 5.61 11.1
Jason Kubel, Minnesota 5.02 5.44 10.3
Jose Guillen, Kansas City 5.03 5.13 10.5
AVERAGE REGULAR DH 5.11
Jim Thome, Chicago-A 5.42 4.93 7.5
Matt Stairs, Toronto 4.59 4.63 4.6
REPLACEMENT LEVEL? 3.57
Travis Hafner, Cleveland 3.73 3.84 -0.1
Gary Sheffield, Detroit 4.13 3.75 -0.5
Garret Anderson, Los Angeles-A 3.72 3.54 -2.4
Jose Vidro, Seattle 2.88 3.01 -5.6

===================­====================­====================­====================­
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===================­====================­====================­====================­
Nelson Lu (nlu@cs.stanford.ed­u)
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